TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Belskyi vs Anatolii Lievshin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Belskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911113119113––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Belskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Belskyi at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Belskyi 2–0 Anatolii Lievshin Anatolii Lievshin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:47What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Belskyi 1560 vs Lievshin 1669
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belskyi 60% vs Lievshin 40%
Belskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belskyi 40% vs Lievshin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Belskyi +2 · Lievshin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelskyi 1.83 / Lievshin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lievshin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179947
Belskyi1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Lievshin1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBelskyi2wins
AwayLievshin0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBelskyi leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBelskyiLievshinB − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.037.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime50 / 122 vs 192 / 34741%55.3%50 / 122 vs 192 / 347Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinBelskyi 1.83/Lievshin 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Belskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 06:50O. Belskyi4291111113A. Lievshin26113931
WSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi48138115113A. Lievshin48111181172
O. Belskyi10
WSep 22 · 18:00A. Hrabskyi1.83711771O. Belskyi1.8311711113WSep 22 · 17:00O. Belskyi2.201111113A. Yurkov1.614740LSep 22 · 16:00O. Belskyi2.38165681I. Hermakivskyi1.53141111113LSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113WSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121
A. Lievshin10
WSep 22 · 19:00A. Yurkov2.1039111172A. Lievshin1.67111145113LSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.7536111192I. Hermakivskyi1.40111197113WSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250WSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110
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