TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Yurkov vs Anatolii Lievshin 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311911114115711
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 83 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 56.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 12–15 Anatolii Lievshin Artem Yurkov has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:39What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Lievshin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Lievshin
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1665 vs Lievshin 1675
Lievshin
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 40% vs Lievshin 20%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 60% vs Lievshin 30%
Yurkov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov -1 · Lievshin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Lievshin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.10 / Lievshin 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Lievshin)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13173132
Yurkov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Lievshin1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 125 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 97 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYurkov4wins
AwayLievshin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurkov66.7%4 of 6
AwayLievshin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yurkov6Lievshin4n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Yurkov5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S3Yurkov3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S4Yurkov1Lievshin8n = 9Lievshin took 8 of 9
S5Yurkov3Lievshin1n = 4Yurkov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurkovLievshinY − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.442.4−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 972 vs 191 / 34558.9%55.4%572 / 972 vs 191 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinYurkov 2.10/Lievshin 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lievshin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 19:00A. Yurkov45111310113A. Lievshin378111261
LSep 14 · 17:40A. Yurkov27113941A. Lievshin4181111113
LSep 11 · 17:40A. Yurkov4561116392A. Lievshin551181411113
LSep 9 · 12:50A. Yurkov195950A. Lievshin331111113
WSep 8 · 17:40A. Yurkov46119114113A. Lievshin4141191162
WSep 7 · 17:40A. Yurkov561411119113A. Lievshin49127131162
LSep 4 · 16:10A. Yurkov33118861A. Lievshin3851111113
LSep 2 · 11:20A. Yurkov33711961A. Lievshin3911611113
LSep 1 · 19:00A. Yurkov24711241A. Lievshin4211911113
WAug 31 · 17:40A. Yurkov561114119113A. Lievshin4981671172
A. Yurkov10
LSep 22 · 17:00O. Belskyi2.201111113A. Yurkov1.614740WSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190
A. Lievshin10
LSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.7536111192I. Hermakivskyi1.40111197113WSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250WSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650WSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113LSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113
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