TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Lievshin vs Illia Hermakivskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Anatolii Lievshin
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311611119117911
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Lievshin above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 64.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Lievshin 0–3 Illia Hermakivskyi Anatolii Lievshin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Hermakivskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lievshin 1675 vs Hermakivskyi 1740
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lievshin 20% vs Hermakivskyi 100%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lievshin 30% vs Hermakivskyi 80%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lievshin +1 · Hermakivskyi +6
Hermakivskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hermakivskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLievshin 2.75 / Hermakivskyi 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13173358
Lievshin2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 43 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Hermakivskyi1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLievshin0wins
AwayHermakivskyi3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderHermakivskyi leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLievshinn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHermakivskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lievshin0Hermakivskyi3n = 3Hermakivskyi took 3 of 3
S2Lievshin1Hermakivskyi2n = 3Hermakivskyi took 2 of 3
S3Lievshin2Hermakivskyi1n = 3Lievshin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricLievshinHermakivskyiL − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match33.345.7−12.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLievshinHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 345 vs 33 / 6755.4%49.3%191 / 345 vs 33 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiLievshin 2.75/Hermakivskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin4036111192I. Hermakivskyi49111197113
LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin185670I. Hermakivskyi331111113
LSep 15 · 15:00A. Lievshin42412121132I. Hermakivskyi5511101013113
A. Lievshin10
WSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Hrabskyi3.5011711113A. Lievshin1.28711881LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250WSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113
I. Hermakivskyi10
WSep 22 · 18:30V. Chornobab1.915410I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 22 · 16:00O. Belskyi2.38165681I. Hermakivskyi1.53141111113WSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123WSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113
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