TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Hrabskyi vs Anatolii Lievshin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711118118––
Anatolii Lievshin
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Lievshin to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Anatolii Lievshin at 74.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 6–23 Anatolii Lievshin Andrii Hrabskyi has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lievshin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-23 in 29
Lievshin
Wrong
gap of 17 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1654 vs Lievshin 1683
Lievshin
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Lievshin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 50% vs Lievshin 30%
Hrabskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi -1 · Lievshin -3
Lievshin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Lievshin) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lievshin form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 3.50 / Lievshin 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 76%
Edge (Lievshin)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172986
Hrabskyi3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 104 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Lievshin1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 125 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it83% 97 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrabskyi2wins
AwayLievshin8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLievshin leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLievshin87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi2Lievshin8n = 10Lievshin took 8 of 10
S2Hrabskyi5Lievshin5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrabskyi3Lievshin7n = 10Lievshin took 7 of 10
S4Hrabskyi2Lievshin7n = 9Lievshin took 7 of 9
S5Hrabskyi2Lievshin1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrabskyiLievshinH − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.745.0−9.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 543 vs 190 / 34243.5%55.6%236 / 543 vs 190 / 342Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LievshinHrabskyi 3.50/Lievshin 1.28
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.5%
Lievshin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrabskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 12:40A. Hrabskyi165650A. Lievshin331111113
WSep 18 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi50913611113A. Lievshin50111111892
LSep 16 · 10:35A. Hrabskyi24411451A. Lievshin4011711113
LSep 15 · 13:00A. Hrabskyi53721312102A. Lievshin6311191110123
LSep 14 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi333911101A. Lievshin4311119123
LSep 11 · 11:40A. Hrabskyi35912681A. Lievshin43111011113
LSep 9 · 07:50A. Hrabskyi33138391A. Lievshin44111111113
LSep 8 · 13:40A. Hrabskyi346115121A. Lievshin4311711143
WSep 7 · 12:10A. Hrabskyi48138115113A. Lievshin48111181172
LSep 4 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi315511101A. Lievshin4311119123
A. Hrabskyi10
LSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123LSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113WSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113LSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110WSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113
A. Lievshin10
LSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113LSep 21 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko1.611111113A. Lievshin2.207250WSep 21 · 13:40I. Fedoryshyn2.0046100A. Lievshin1.731111123WSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 18 · 17:40I. Fedoryshyn2.38118513113A. Lievshin1.53811111162LSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113WSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113LSep 18 · 11:10V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.386590
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