Oleksandr Belskyi vs Anatolii Lievshin 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 22Finished

Oleksandr Belskyi

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1311811118511117

Anatolii Lievshin

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Belskyi to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Anatolii Lievshin below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 5-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Belskyi at 54.0%

96 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 19:50

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Belskyi

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Belskyi 1497 vs Lievshin 1700

Lievshin

Wrong

both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Belskyi 20% vs Lievshin 40%

Lievshin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Belskyi 10% vs Lievshin 30%

Lievshin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Belskyi -2 · Lievshin -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Belskyi)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Belskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBelskyi 1.73 / Lievshin 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Belskyi)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13172895

Belskyi1.73

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 40 days ago (Aug 13) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Lievshin2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog46% won 43 of 94

Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54

Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBelskyiLievshinBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 116 vs 190 / 34139.7%55.7%46 / 116 vs 190 / 341Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Belskyi

Belskyi 1.73/Lievshin 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Belskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Belskyi won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Belskyi10