TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Hrabskyi vs Illia Hermakivskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Hrabskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3119111012––––
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Hrabskyi above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 59.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Hrabskyi 1–2 Illia Hermakivskyi Andrii Hrabskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabskyi 1667 vs Hermakivskyi 1700
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabskyi 40% vs Hermakivskyi 80%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabskyi 60% vs Hermakivskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabskyi +1 · Hermakivskyi +3
Hermakivskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hermakivskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabskyi 2.25 / Hermakivskyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172961
Hrabskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 104 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 86
Hermakivskyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHrabskyi1wins
AwayHermakivskyi2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderHermakivskyi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHermakivskyi66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabskyi0Hermakivskyi3n = 3Hermakivskyi took 3 of 3
S2Hrabskyi2Hermakivskyi1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
S3Hrabskyi2Hermakivskyi1n = 3Hrabskyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricHrabskyiHermakivskyiHrabskyi − HermakivskyiBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match35.338.0−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabskyiHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 542 vs 29 / 6343.5%46%236 / 542 vs 29 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiHrabskyi 2.25/Hermakivskyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 21 · 16:10A. Hrabskyi4151111862I. Hermakivskyi50118911113
WSep 15 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi43101111113I. Hermakivskyi31123791
LMay 8 · 11:10A. Hrabskyi226880I. Hermakivskyi331111113
A. Hrabskyi10
WSep 21 · 17:10O. Seliuchenko1.8312830A. Hrabskyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123LSep 21 · 12:40A. Lievshin1.301111113A. Hrabskyi3.405650LSep 21 · 10:40I. Fedoryshyn1.83911118113A. Hrabskyi1.8311281132WSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113WSep 18 · 16:10A. Lievshin1.28111111892A. Hrabskyi3.50913611113LSep 18 · 14:40V. Marushchak1.531211133A. Hrabskyi2.38105110WSep 18 · 12:40I. Fedoryshyn1.737111171A. Hrabskyi2.0011713113WSep 18 · 10:40V. Voronenko2.2091111782A. Hrabskyi1.61115811113
I. Hermakivskyi10
WSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123WSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113LSep 17 · 17:30O. Bondarchuk1.3611119113I. Hermakivskyi3.00811191LSep 17 · 16:00O. Zhurba1.401111113I. Hermakivskyi2.756660LSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470LSep 17 · 12:00D. Neborak1.57115712113I. Hermakivskyi2.25811111092
Upcoming Matches
A. Hrabskyi
I. Hermakivskyi
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