TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118411811––
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Seliuchenko above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 66.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Seliuchenko 0–3 Illia Hermakivskyi Oleksandr Seliuchenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Hermakivskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seliuchenko 1585 vs Hermakivskyi 1672
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seliuchenko 20% vs Hermakivskyi 40%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seliuchenko 20% vs Hermakivskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seliuchenko -1 · Hermakivskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hermakivskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeliuchenko 2.75 / Hermakivskyi 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166250
Seliuchenko2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back37% 15 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Hermakivskyi1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 13 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSeliuchenko0wins
AwayHermakivskyi3wins
Hermakivskyi leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeliuchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayHermakivskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seliuchenko0Hermakivskyi3n = 3Hermakivskyi took 3 of 3
S2Seliuchenko1Hermakivskyi2n = 3Hermakivskyi took 2 of 3
S3Seliuchenko0Hermakivskyi3n = 3Hermakivskyi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricSeliuchenkoHermakivskyiS − HBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match23.336.0−12.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeliuchenkoHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 311 vs 27 / 6157.9%44.3%180 / 311 vs 27 / 61Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiSeliuchenko 2.75/Hermakivskyi 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko32911481I. Hermakivskyi4111811113
LSep 15 · 12:00O. Seliuchenko1810350I. Hermakivskyi341211113
LJul 21 · 18:00O. Seliuchenko208930I. Hermakivskyi331111113
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.801111113O. Seliuchenko1.916950WSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640LSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552LSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350LSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133
I. Hermakivskyi10
LSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123WSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113LSep 17 · 17:30O. Bondarchuk1.3611119113I. Hermakivskyi3.00811191LSep 17 · 16:00O. Zhurba1.401111113I. Hermakivskyi2.756660LSep 17 · 14:00O. Pavlyuk1.801111113I. Hermakivskyi1.914470LSep 17 · 12:00D. Neborak1.57115712113I. Hermakivskyi2.25811111092LSep 15 · 18:00I. Hermakivskyi1.40941171V. Marushchak2.7511114113LSep 15 · 16:30I. Hermakivskyi1.44123791A. Hrabskyi2.63101111113WSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350
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