TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Kolbasenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Oleksandr Seliuchenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolbasenko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Oleksandr Seliuchenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Kolbasenko at 54.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 2–2 Oleksandr Seliuchenko Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolbasenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolbasenko 1709 vs Seliuchenko 1605
Kolbasenko
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolbasenko 20% vs Seliuchenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolbasenko 30% vs Seliuchenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolbasenko -3 · Seliuchenko +1
Kolbasenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolbasenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seliuchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 1.80 / Seliuchenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolbasenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166251
Kolbasenko1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 66 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Seliuchenko1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 42 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back37% 15 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKolbasenko2wins
AwaySeliuchenko2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Kolbasenko2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
S3Kolbasenko2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Kolbasenko2Seliuchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoSeliuchenkoK − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.036.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoSeliuchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 327 vs 180 / 30953.2%58.3%174 / 327 vs 180 / 309Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolbasenkoKolbasenko 1.80/Seliuchenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Kolbasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 26 · 08:20O. Kolbasenko28611741O. Seliuchenko3911611113
LJun 30 · 16:00O. Kolbasenko316114101O. Seliuchenko4111711123
WMar 6 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko4311911123O. Seliuchenko366119101
WJan 10 · 15:40O. Kolbasenko3811511113O. Seliuchenko28511391
O. Kolbasenko10
LSep 21 · 14:40O. Kolbasenko1.501158101A. Hrabskyi2.5041111123LSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123LSep 16 · 11:05V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Kolbasenko2.636750LSep 16 · 10:05O. Kolbasenko2.501870O. Gavryshko1.501111113WSep 16 · 09:05O. Kolbasenko1.501171110143A. Hrabskyi2.50211312122LSep 16 · 07:35O. Kolbasenko1.331071191V. Mishchenko3.2512119113LSep 16 · 05:35O. Kolbasenko1.5711129872A. Lievshin2.254101111113LSep 14 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko1.44811991A. Hrabskyi2.6311611113LSep 14 · 15:10V. Marushchak1.501111113O. Kolbasenko2.505580WSep 14 · 14:10O. Kolbasenko1.571111143A. Lievshin2.2588120
O. Seliuchenko10
LSep 21 · 15:10I. Fedoryshyn1.571111113O. Seliuchenko2.257750LSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113WSep 21 · 11:40O. Seliuchenko2.201111133A. Lievshin1.6149110LSep 15 · 18:30A. Hrabskyi1.9111811133O. Seliuchenko1.808113111LSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190LSep 15 · 16:00V. Marushchak1.441111113O. Seliuchenko2.637640LSep 15 · 14:00A. Lievshin1.57991411113O. Seliuchenko2.25111112552LSep 15 · 12:00I. Hermakivskyi1.441211113O. Seliuchenko2.6310350LSep 11 · 17:10A. Hrabskyi2.101111113O. Seliuchenko1.676690WSep 11 · 16:10A. Yurkov1.8081111111O. Seliuchenko1.9111136133
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