TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Yurkov vs Illia Hermakivskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Artem Yurkov
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311119411511511
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Yurkov above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 58.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Artem Yurkov 0–2 Illia Hermakivskyi Artem Yurkov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Yurkov 1681 vs Hermakivskyi 1714
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yurkov 60% vs Hermakivskyi 80%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yurkov 70% vs Hermakivskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yurkov +1 · Hermakivskyi +4
Hermakivskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Hermakivskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYurkov 2.25 / Hermakivskyi 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13173012
Yurkov2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Hermakivskyi1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeYurkov0wins
AwayHermakivskyi2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHermakivskyi leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricYurkovHermakivskyiY − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.042.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurkovHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 971 vs 30 / 6458.9%46.9%572 / 971 vs 30 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiYurkov 2.25/Hermakivskyi 1.57
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hermakivskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 15 · 13:30A. Yurkov486101111102I. Hermakivskyi52111298123
LJul 21 · 13:30A. Yurkov228680I. Hermakivskyi331111113
A. Yurkov10
WSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190WSep 15 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi2.0013149101A. Yurkov1.73111611123LSep 15 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi1.61111298123A. Yurkov2.206101111102
I. Hermakivskyi10
WSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123WSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113LSep 17 · 17:30O. Bondarchuk1.3611119113I. Hermakivskyi3.00811191LSep 17 · 16:00O. Zhurba1.401111113I. Hermakivskyi2.756660WSep 15 · 13:30I. Hermakivskyi1.61111298123A. Yurkov2.206101111102
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