TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Chornobab vs Artem Yurkov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vladimir Chornobab
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811611––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Chornobab above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Chornobab 13–9 Artem Yurkov Artem Yurkov has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Yurkov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-9 in 22
Chornobab
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chornobab 1745 vs Yurkov 1664
Chornobab
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chornobab 80% vs Yurkov 60%
Chornobab
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chornobab 60% vs Yurkov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chornobab +2 · Yurkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chornobab form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChornobab 2.00 / Yurkov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172962
Chornobab2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 34 days ago (Aug 19) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Yurkov1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 193 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it73% 130 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChornobab6wins
AwayYurkov4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChornobab leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChornobab75%3 of 4
AwayYurkov50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chornobab4Yurkov6n = 10Yurkov took 6 of 10
S2Chornobab6Yurkov4n = 10Chornobab took 6 of 10
S3Chornobab5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chornobab3Yurkov4n = 7Yurkov took 4 of 7
S5Chornobab3Yurkov1n = 4Chornobab took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChornobabYurkovC − YBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.5−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChornobabYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 123 vs 576 / 97765%59%80 / 123 vs 576 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovChornobab 2.00/Yurkov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Yurkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab511211125113A. Yurkov49148101162
WJun 17 · 10:50V. Chornobab4011513113A. Yurkov339111121
LJun 16 · 20:50V. Chornobab2468100A. Yurkov341111123
LJun 10 · 09:20V. Chornobab44111264112A. Yurkov549101111133
WJun 9 · 18:20V. Chornobab51671211153A. Yurkov471111102132
LMay 27 · 09:20V. Chornobab238690A. Yurkov331111113
WMay 26 · 17:50V. Chornobab4481213113A. Yurkov3711101151
LMay 19 · 15:50V. Chornobab336116101A. Yurkov3911511123
WApr 21 · 21:20V. Chornobab331111113A. Yurkov229760
WApr 17 · 09:35V. Chornobab44111156113A. Yurkov4788111192
V. Chornobab10
WAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162LAug 19 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.8376100O. Seliuchenko1.831111123WAug 19 · 08:20V. Chornobab1.83141228123A. Lievshin1.8312101111102WAug 19 · 06:20V. Chornobab1.44111111113A. Hrabskyi2.63413751LJun 17 · 11:50O. Ivchuk1.3611911113V. Chornobab3.00711941WJun 17 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.2011513113A. Yurkov1.619111121LJun 17 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.30118711102O. Mitla3.40711117123WJun 17 · 06:20V. Chornobab1.441111113A. Hrabskyi2.639380LJun 16 · 20:50A. Yurkov1.671111123V. Chornobab2.1068100
A. Yurkov10
LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190WSep 15 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi2.0013149101A. Yurkov1.73111611123LAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162LJun 17 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.2011513113A. Yurkov1.619111121WJun 16 · 20:50A. Yurkov1.671111123V. Chornobab2.1068100
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