TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladimir Chornobab vs Illia Hermakivskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vladimir Chornobab
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411111––––
Illia Hermakivskyi
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIllia Hermakivskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Chornobab above · Illia Hermakivskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 43 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Illia Hermakivskyi at 54.0%
43 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hermakivskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chornobab 1739 vs Hermakivskyi 1740
Hermakivskyi
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chornobab 60% vs Hermakivskyi 100%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chornobab 60% vs Hermakivskyi 90%
Hermakivskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chornobab +1 · Hermakivskyi +7
Hermakivskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hermakivskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hermakivskyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChornobab 1.91 / Hermakivskyi 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hermakivskyi)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13173566
Chornobab1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 11 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Hermakivskyi1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChornobabHermakivskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 127 vs 33 / 6764.6%49.3%82 / 127 vs 33 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HermakivskyiChornobab 1.91/Hermakivskyi 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hermakivskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hermakivskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Chornobab10
WSep 22 · 16:30A. Hrabskyi2.63128981V. Chornobab1.44101111113LSep 22 · 15:30V. Chornobab1.83712651A. Lievshin1.83111011113WSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113LSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113WAug 19 · 11:50Y. Leymanovsky1.8091361172V. Chornobab1.911111119113WAug 19 · 10:50V. Chornobab2.101211125113A. Yurkov1.67148101162LAug 19 · 09:50V. Chornobab1.8376100O. Seliuchenko1.831111123WAug 19 · 08:20V. Chornobab1.83141228123A. Lievshin1.8312101111102WAug 19 · 06:20V. Chornobab1.44111111113A. Hrabskyi2.63413751LJun 17 · 11:50O. Ivchuk1.3611911113V. Chornobab3.00711941
I. Hermakivskyi10
WSep 22 · 17:30A. Lievshin2.7536111192I. Hermakivskyi1.40111197113WSep 22 · 16:00O. Belskyi2.38165681I. Hermakivskyi1.53141111113WSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 12:00A. Hrabskyi2.2539100I. Hermakivskyi1.571111123WSep 21 · 17:40A. Lievshin1.915670I. Hermakivskyi1.801111113WSep 21 · 16:10I. Hermakivskyi1.61118911113A. Hrabskyi2.2051111862WSep 21 · 14:10O. Seliuchenko2.75911481I. Hermakivskyi1.4011811113LSep 21 · 12:10I. Fedoryshyn1.8311611113I. Hermakivskyi1.83911881WSep 21 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko2.251611101I. Hermakivskyi1.5711119123WSep 17 · 18:30O. Ivchuk1.839840I. Hermakivskyi1.831111113
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