TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Belskyi vs Artem Yurkov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Belskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117114––––
Artem Yurkov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeArtem Yurkov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Belskyi above · Artem Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Artem Yurkov at 57.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Belskyi 1–2 Artem Yurkov Oleksandr Belskyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Belskyi 1502 vs Yurkov 1685
Yurkov
Wrong
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Belskyi 20% vs Yurkov 40%
Yurkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Belskyi 20% vs Yurkov 70%
Yurkov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Belskyi -2 · Yurkov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelskyi 2.20 / Yurkov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Yurkov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173131
Belskyi2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 9 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Yurkov1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 193 of 329
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it73% 130 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBelskyi1wins
AwayYurkov2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderYurkov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belskyi2Yurkov1n = 3Belskyi took 2 of 3
S2Belskyi1Yurkov2n = 3Yurkov took 2 of 3
S3Belskyi0Yurkov3n = 3Yurkov took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBelskyiYurkovB − YBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.740.7−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelskyiYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 119 vs 572 / 97239.5%58.9%47 / 119 vs 572 / 972Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.540.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovBelskyi 2.20/Yurkov 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Belskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJan 14 · 12:20O. Belskyi511111711113A. Yurkov4797111372
LJan 13 · 21:50O. Belskyi36118981A. Yurkov4181111113
LSep 30 · 16:20O. Belskyi2381050A. Yurkov341112113
O. Belskyi10
LSep 22 · 16:00O. Belskyi2.38165681I. Hermakivskyi1.53141111113LSep 22 · 14:30O. Belskyi2.208570V. Chornobab1.611111113WSep 22 · 12:30O. Belskyi1.73138115113A. Lievshin2.00111181172LAug 13 · 10:19O. Belskyi1.57111110382D. Neborak2.25761211113LAug 13 · 09:05O. Ivchuk1.8371111113O. Belskyi1.83118551WAug 13 · 07:35I. Hermakivskyi1.5311117652O. Belskyi2.38851111113LAug 13 · 06:05O. Bondarchuk1.201111113O. Belskyi4.332950LAug 13 · 05:05D. Neborak1.6111116113O. Belskyi2.20491121LAug 12 · 16:00O. Ivchuk2.001111113O. Belskyi1.736950LAug 12 · 14:30I. Hermakivskyi1.7311814113O. Belskyi2.002111281
A. Yurkov10
WSep 22 · 15:00A. Hrabskyi2.107960A. Yurkov1.671111113LSep 22 · 14:00A. Yurkov2.2513114552I. Hermakivskyi1.571191111113WSep 22 · 13:00V. Chornobab2.008860A. Yurkov1.731111113LSep 18 · 17:10A. Yurkov1.831191171A. Hrabskyi1.8313119113LSep 18 · 14:10A. Yurkov2.10131011352A. Lievshin1.671112811113WSep 18 · 13:10V. Marushchak1.67131161352A. Yurkov2.101591111113WSep 18 · 11:40A. Yurkov2.1018811113I. Fedoryshyn1.671611281WSep 15 · 19:00A. Lievshin1.618111261A. Yurkov2.20111310113WSep 15 · 17:30A. Yurkov1.731113113O. Seliuchenko2.0061190WSep 15 · 15:30A. Hrabskyi2.0013149101A. Yurkov1.73111611123
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