TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Skulina vs Jan Pribyl 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
David Skulina
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11813111210––––
Jan Pribyl
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:47 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 65 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 1–0 Jan Pribyl Jan Pribyl has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Skulina beat Pribyl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:47What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skulina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1622 vs Pribyl 1677
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 60% vs Pribyl 80%
Pribyl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 40% vs Pribyl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina +3 · Pribyl +2
Skulina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skulina) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 1.67 / Pribyl 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pribyl)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13179570
Skulina1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 27 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Pribyl2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 12 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkulina1wins
AwayPribyl0wins
Skulina leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkulinaPribylS − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.030.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 181 vs 115 / 21049.7%54.8%90 / 181 vs 115 / 210Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkulinaSkulina 1.67/Pribyl 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skulina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina43111011113J. Pribyl30912181
D. Skulina10
WSep 22 · 15:45B. Moravec1.4461111111D. Skulina2.6311613133WSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina2.10111011113J. Pribyl1.67912181LSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 20 · 16:43D. Skulina2.00101171192J. Skalicky1.73129118113WSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 15:15J. Skalicky1.671311115133D. Skulina2.10159811112
J. Pribyl10
WSep 22 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.61111176113F. Chaloupka2.2068111192WSep 22 · 14:45B. Moravec1.8091191162J. Pribyl1.91116117113LSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina2.10111011113J. Pribyl1.67912181WSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113WSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113LSep 12 · 11:10D. Jr2.00711115113J. Pribyl1.7311981162LSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113WSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151
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