TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Mark Robin Wagner vs Jan Simecek 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511117711––
Jan Simecek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 2–2 Jan Simecek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Simecek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1649 vs Simecek 1687
Simecek
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 0% vs Simecek 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 30% vs Simecek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -5 · Simecek -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Simecek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 2.10 / Simecek 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Simecek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176811
Wagner2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 22)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Simecek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 26 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwaySimecek2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySimecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Simecek3n = 4Simecek took 3 of 4
S2Wagner2Simecek2n = 4split evenly
S3Wagner2Simecek2n = 4split evenly
S4Wagner1Simecek2n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricWagnerSimecekW − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match35.235.0+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 184 vs 110 / 22353.3%49.3%98 / 184 vs 110 / 223Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekWagner 2.10/Simecek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 23 · 06:30M. Wagner29651171J. Simecek4011117113
WSep 18 · 02:00M. Wagner3711114113J. Simecek24251161
LSep 4 · 03:28M. Wagner248880J. Simecek331111113
WSep 4 · 02:30M. Wagner51811119123J. Simecek43112911102
M. Wagner10
LSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton1.401111123M. Wagner2.7575100LSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143LSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101LSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130LSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111LSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113
J. Simecek10
WSep 23 · 07:30J. Simecek1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108740LSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113LSep 18 · 01:00J. Simecek2.637119101O. Kolisnyk1.4411911123LSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880
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