TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ales Barton vs Mark Robin Wagner 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151210––––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Barton above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ales Barton at 70.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 1–1 Mark Robin Wagner Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Barton 1792 vs Wagner 1649
Barton
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Wagner 0%
Barton
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Wagner 20%
Barton
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Wagner -6
Wagner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.40 / Wagner 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Barton)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176805
Barton1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Wagner2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 33 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBarton1wins
AwayWagner1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBartonWagnerB − WBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.535.5+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 431 vs 98 / 18452.4%53.3%226 / 431 vs 98 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.40/Wagner 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 07:00A. Barton341111123M. Wagner2275100
LSep 17 · 23:00A. Barton4331191192M. Wagner49119117113
A. Barton10
LSep 23 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.751291114113A. Barton1.40141191282WSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100WSep 18 · 02:30A. Barton2.2511118153O. Kolisnyk1.578911131LSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352WSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113
M. Wagner10
LSep 23 · 06:30M. Wagner2.10651171J. Simecek1.6711117113LSep 22 · 02:00M. Wagner1.6769140O. Svacha2.101111163LSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143LSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101LSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130LSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111LSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192
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