TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140525
Played Sep 18Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198118111513115
Ales Barton
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 102 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ales Barton at 62.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 20–35 Ales Barton Jiri Ruzicka has won 20 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Barton
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-35 in 55
Barton
Wrong
gap of 15 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1779 vs Barton 1774
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Barton 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Barton 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -2 · Barton +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.38 / Barton 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Barton)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140525
Ruzicka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 138 of 348
Down 0–1, comes back20% 44 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 115
Barton1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwayBarton5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka66.7%2 of 3
AwayBarton57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Barton7n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka4Barton6n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S3Ruzicka5Barton5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruzicka4Barton5n = 9Barton took 5 of 9
S5Ruzicka3Barton0n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaBartonR − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.139.7−1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime688 / 1421 vs 228 / 43448.4%52.5%688 / 1421 vs 228 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonRuzicka 2.38/Barton 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 25 · 17:30J. Ruzicka3911512113A. Barton399111091
WJul 25 · 14:30J. Ruzicka47511137113A. Barton49118111182
LJul 18 · 23:00J. Ruzicka2461170A. Barton351113113
WJul 15 · 22:30J. Ruzicka3851111113A. Barton30118741
WJul 8 · 15:00J. Ruzicka41115311113A. Barton3421111462
LJun 28 · 24:30J. Ruzicka33811591A. Barton3911611113
LJun 25 · 16:30J. Ruzicka36911971A. Barton3811511113
WJun 22 · 14:00J. Ruzicka5310101111113A. Barton4412125872
LJun 12 · 12:00J. Ruzicka311210271A. Barton44101211113
LJun 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka397913101A. Barton45111111123
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100LSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970LSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113
A. Barton10
WSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100WSep 18 · 02:30A. Barton2.2511118153O. Kolisnyk1.578911131WSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111
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