TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13151780
Played Sep 18Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161141210––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:55 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Barton above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Ales Barton at 57.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 40–22 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 22 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Ruzicka beat Barton 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-22 in 62
Barton
Correct
gap of 18 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1769 vs Ruzicka 1799
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Barton
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Ruzicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Barton)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.63 / Ruzicka 2.13
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Barton)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13151780
Barton1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 78 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Ruzicka2.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 138 of 348
Down 0–1, comes back20% 44 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton83.3%5 of 6
AwayRuzicka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton6Ruzicka4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S2Barton8Ruzicka2n = 10Barton took 8 of 10
S3Barton6Ruzicka4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S4Barton3Ruzicka4n = 7Ruzicka took 4 of 7
S5Barton1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonRuzickaB − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.5+5.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 435 vs 689 / 142252.6%48.5%229 / 435 vs 689 / 1422Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.63/Ruzicka 2.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 01:30A. Barton49911111352J. Ruzicka53118815113
WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton4212118113J. Ruzicka291071111
WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton3961111113J. Ruzicka31118571
WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton511113115113J. Ruzicka4681571152
WAug 5 · 23:30A. Barton331111113J. Ruzicka179350
WJul 31 · 13:00A. Barton361411113J. Ruzicka2612860
LJul 31 · 11:00A. Barton35812691J. Ruzicka43111011113
LJul 25 · 17:30A. Barton399111091J. Ruzicka3911512113
LJul 25 · 14:30A. Barton49118111182J. Ruzicka47511137113
WJul 18 · 23:00A. Barton351113113J. Ruzicka2461170
A. Barton10
WSep 18 · 02:30A. Barton2.2511118153O. Kolisnyk1.578911131LSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352WSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352LSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970LSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111
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