TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140459
Played Sep 18Finished
Ales Barton
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181198111513––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Barton above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 86 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 55.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 11–20 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Ales Barton has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Kolisnyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1754 vs Kolisnyk 1849
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Kolisnyk 100%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Kolisnyk 80%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Kolisnyk +5
Kolisnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.25 / Kolisnyk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140459
Barton2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Kolisnyk1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 64 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton3wins
AwayKolisnyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton75%3 of 4
AwayKolisnyk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Barton4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Barton3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S4Barton4Kolisnyk3n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S5Barton1Kolisnyk3n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonKolisnykB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.0−4.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 435 vs 556 / 109452.4%50.8%228 / 435 vs 556 / 1094Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykBarton 2.25/Kolisnyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 06:30A. Barton3961111562O. Kolisnyk47119511113
WAug 22 · 17:00A. Barton3811511113O. Kolisnyk30711391
LAug 22 · 15:30A. Barton36148861O. Kolisnyk45121111113
LAug 14 · 13:02A. Barton218850O. Kolisnyk331111113
WAug 14 · 11:00A. Barton3511112113O. Kolisnyk32941181
WAug 8 · 10:30A. Barton45113119113O. Kolisnyk3461131132
LJul 13 · 17:30A. Barton3851121192O. Kolisnyk45119113113
LJul 13 · 14:30A. Barton162950O. Kolisnyk331111113
LJun 12 · 13:30A. Barton4461181182O. Kolisnyk46118115113
LJun 12 · 11:30A. Barton24104100O. Kolisnyk351211123
A. Barton10
WSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100LSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352WSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192WSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110LSep 13 · 08:30A. Barton2.50291191L. Zeman1.5011119113LSep 13 · 07:00A. Barton3.007620E. Mares1.361111113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Huk2.209260A. Barton1.611111113LSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 18 · 03:30O. Kolisnyk1.57111111113M. Wagner2.25136581WSep 18 · 01:00J. Simecek2.637119101O. Kolisnyk1.4411911123WSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101WSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481WSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112LSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113
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