TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140310
Played Sep 18Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111199111012––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 62.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 5–6 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Jan Simecek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Kolisnyk beat Simecek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1624 vs Kolisnyk 1844
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 220 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 0% vs Kolisnyk 100%
Kolisnyk
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 40% vs Kolisnyk 70%
Kolisnyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek -5 · Kolisnyk +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 2.63 / Kolisnyk 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140310
Simecek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Kolisnyk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 64 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimecek4wins
AwayKolisnyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolisnyk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Simecek4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Simecek4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S4Simecek3Kolisnyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Simecek2Kolisnyk1n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimecekKolisnykS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.9−1.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 219 vs 555 / 109349.3%50.8%108 / 219 vs 555 / 1093Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykSimecek 2.63/Kolisnyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 16:30J. Simecek341012481O. Kolisnyk44121011113
WAug 7 · 09:28J. Simecek47571111133O. Kolisnyk45111175112
LAug 7 · 07:30J. Simecek3013890O. Kolisnyk371511113
WAug 3 · 10:30J. Simecek47118116113O. Kolisnyk4361171182
LAug 3 · 07:00J. Simecek185850O. Kolisnyk331111113
LJul 27 · 09:00J. Simecek40211611102O. Kolisnyk45116115123
LJul 27 · 07:00J. Simecek34116981O. Kolisnyk4071111113
WJun 8 · 01:30J. Simecek331111113O. Kolisnyk166640
LJun 5 · 07:00J. Simecek209830O. Kolisnyk331111113
WMar 19 · 08:30J. Simecek4181111113O. Kolisnyk23115161
J. Simecek10
LSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113LSep 18 · 24:00A. Barton1.837111110113J. Simecek1.8311871292LSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101WSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481WSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112LSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113WSep 16 · 15:30M. Jezek1.6711851152O. Kolisnyk2.10911116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Kolisnyk
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