Jakub Kycelt vs Mark Robin Wagner 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 22Finished

Jakub Kycelt

Home

1.22

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

61111715131210––

Mark Robin Wagner

Away

4.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%

Graded at full time

Jakub Kycelt to win

54.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Mark Robin Wagner below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 15-13

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 85 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 54.7%

85 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:16

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.22 (77%)

Kycelt

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kycelt 1820 vs Wagner 1699

Kycelt

Correct

both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kycelt 60% vs Wagner 20%

Kycelt

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kycelt 60% vs Wagner 40%

Kycelt

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kycelt +3 · Wagner -2

Kycelt

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kycelt form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKycelt 1.22 / Wagner 4.00

Signal prob.79% / 21%

Edge (Kycelt)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13168389

Kycelt1.22

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite60% won 34 of 57

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33

Wagner4.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog53% won 33 of 62

Down 0–1, comes back37% 11 of 30

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKyceltWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 327 vs 98 / 17950.2%54.8%164 / 327 vs 98 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kycelt

Kycelt 1.22/Wagner 4.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

79.4%

Kycelt · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kycelt won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Kycelt10