TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Svacha vs Jakub Kycelt 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11311871111131012
Jakub Kycelt
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:35 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 64.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 8–10 Jakub Kycelt Ondrej Svacha has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kycelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Kycelt
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1726 vs Kycelt 1820
Kycelt
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 80% vs Kycelt 60%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 70% vs Kycelt 50%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Kycelt +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kycelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 2.25 / Kycelt 1.57
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kycelt)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169284
Svacha2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 80 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Kycelt1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 11 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha3wins
AwayKycelt7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKycelt leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha50%3 of 6
AwayKycelt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha6Kycelt4n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S2Svacha5Kycelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Svacha3Kycelt7n = 10Kycelt took 7 of 10
S4Svacha3Kycelt5n = 8Kycelt took 5 of 8
S5Svacha1Kycelt3n = 4Kycelt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaKyceltS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.340.9−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 781 vs 164 / 32750.7%50.2%396 / 781 vs 164 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltSvacha 2.25/Kycelt 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha501111711102J. Kycelt47381113123
WJan 22 · 04:30O. Svacha4011117113J. Kycelt28541181
LJan 22 · 03:30O. Svacha48117101282J. Kycelt539111210113
WJan 15 · 03:00O. Svacha51118138113J. Kycelt47811111162
LDec 17 · 17:56O. Svacha344128101J. Kycelt44111011123
LDec 17 · 17:00O. Svacha421511971J. Kycelt4417511113
LDec 5 · 24:30O. Svacha176650J. Kycelt331111113
LSep 25 · 23:00O. Svacha32481191J. Kycelt4111118113
LJun 7 · 13:00O. Svacha3512921112J. Kycelt521011119113
WJun 7 · 10:00O. Svacha341112113J. Kycelt2041060
O. Svacha10
LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141WSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131LSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113WSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571WSep 19 · 03:30J. Ruzicka2.006880O. Svacha1.731111113
J. Kycelt10
WSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152WSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113LSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142LSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750LSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101
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