TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119711113––
Martin Sychra
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 62.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 8–2 Martin Sychra Martin Sychra has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Svacha
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1703 vs Sychra 1604
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Sychra 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Sychra 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -2 · Sychra +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.25 / Sychra 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Svacha)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163659
Svacha1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 92 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Sychra3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 148 of 326
Down 0–1, comes back27% 47 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha8wins
AwaySychra2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvacha leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha100%7 of 7
AwaySychra66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha7Sychra3n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S2Svacha9Sychra1n = 10Svacha took 9 of 10
S3Svacha7Sychra3n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S4Svacha4Sychra1n = 5Svacha took 4 of 5
S5Svacha1Sychra2n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaSychraSvacha − SychraBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.830.9+8.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 776 vs 798 / 152550.6%52.3%393 / 776 vs 798 / 1525Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.25/Sychra 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha4011117113M. Sychra31891131
LSep 1 · 19:00O. Svacha54815111372M. Sychra551117511113
WAug 2 · 19:30O. Svacha341111123M. Sychra1716100
LJul 14 · 19:00O. Svacha4381171162M. Sychra44112119113
WJul 12 · 02:59O. Svacha44111111113M. Sychra35136971
WJul 12 · 24:30O. Svacha341112113M. Sychra2451090
WApr 26 · 01:00O. Svacha331111113M. Sychra198920
WApr 2 · 24:00O. Svacha47111177113M. Sychra3541111182
WMar 31 · 21:00O. Svacha331111113M. Sychra236890
WMar 31 · 19:30O. Svacha361411113M. Sychra2612770
O. Svacha10
LSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113WSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571WSep 19 · 03:30J. Ruzicka2.006880O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 19 · 02:30J. Ruzicka2.00149119133O. Svacha1.731211211112LSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682WSep 18 · 23:30O. Svacha2.10111011113M. Hampl1.67912291WSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391WSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113
M. Sychra10
LSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra1.919590V. Vejvoda1.801111113WSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113LSep 19 · 02:30M. Sychra1.40961171J. Hradecky2.7511115113WSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950LSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00138111152M. Vondrak1.731111913113WSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143
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