TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145711
Played Sep 19Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611115711––
Jakub Hradecky
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Jakub Hradecky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 56.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 19–18 Jakub Hradecky Jakub Hradecky has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sychra
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1622 vs Hradecky 1709
Hradecky
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 60% vs Hradecky 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 50% vs Hradecky 80%
Hradecky
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +2 · Hradecky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradecky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.40 / Hradecky 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hradecky)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145711
Sychra1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 189
Hradecky2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra8wins
AwayHradecky2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra77.8%7 of 9
AwayHradeckyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra9Hradecky1n = 10Sychra took 9 of 10
S2Sychra7Hradecky3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Sychra7Hradecky3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Sychra3Hradecky3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraHradeckyS − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.134.4+4.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraHradeckyBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1530 vs 268 / 48952.4%54.8%801 / 1530 vs 268 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.40/Hradecky 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hradecky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 13:30M. Sychra381215113J. Hradecky31101380
WAug 28 · 11:00M. Sychra351111133J. Hradecky2788110
WAug 24 · 22:30M. Sychra4071111113J. Hradecky33117961
WApr 8 · 22:00M. Sychra3811511113J. Hradecky30711751
WMar 31 · 03:30M. Sychra4012611113J. Hradecky371011791
LMar 30 · 23:00M. Sychra411191291J. Hradecky4261114113
LMar 18 · 02:30M. Sychra44111312262J. Hradecky558111411113
WMar 16 · 15:00M. Sychra341111123J. Hradecky1651100
WMar 13 · 22:30M. Sychra331111113J. Hradecky259970
WMar 13 · 21:00M. Sychra481211104113J. Hradecky48106121192
M. Sychra10
WSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113WSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950LSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00138111152M. Vondrak1.731111913113WSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143LSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771LSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140
J. Hradecky10
LSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113WSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113LSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113WSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 13:29M. Vizek2.1069111192J. Hradecky1.67111187113LSep 18 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.67131011101M. Vizek2.1015125123WSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113WSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181
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