TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13157489
Played Sep 19Finished
Jakub Hradecky
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191012911811––
Martin Sychra
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Hradecky to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Hradecky above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Hradecky at 56.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Hradecky 19–19 Martin Sychra Dead even across their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 3–7Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Hradecky beat Sychra 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-19 in 38
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hradecky 1726 vs Sychra 1606
Hradecky
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradecky 80% vs Sychra 40%
Hradecky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradecky 80% vs Sychra 40%
Hradecky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradecky +2 · Sychra -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sychra) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradecky 2.20 / Sychra 1.60
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Hradecky)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13157489
Hradecky2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back8% 3 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sychra1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHradecky3wins
AwaySychra7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHradeckyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySychra75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hradecky2Sychra8n = 10Sychra took 8 of 10
S2Hradecky4Sychra6n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Hradecky2Sychra8n = 10Sychra took 8 of 10
S4Hradecky3Sychra3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHradeckySychraH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.437.6−4.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradeckySychraBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 490 vs 801 / 153154.9%52.3%269 / 490 vs 801 / 1531Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraHradecky 2.20/Sychra 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 02:30J. Hradecky3811115113M. Sychra33961171
LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hradecky31101380M. Sychra381215113
LAug 28 · 11:00J. Hradecky2788110M. Sychra351111133
LAug 24 · 22:30J. Hradecky33117961M. Sychra4071111113
LApr 8 · 22:00J. Hradecky30711751M. Sychra3811511113
LMar 31 · 03:30J. Hradecky371011791M. Sychra4012611113
WMar 30 · 23:00J. Hradecky4261114113M. Sychra411191291
WMar 18 · 02:30J. Hradecky558111411113M. Sychra44111312262
LMar 16 · 15:00J. Hradecky1651100M. Sychra341111123
LMar 13 · 22:30J. Hradecky259970M. Sychra331111113
J. Hradecky10
WSep 19 · 02:30M. Sychra1.40961171J. Hradecky2.7511115113WSep 19 · 01:00P. Pycha2.256950J. Hradecky1.571111113LSep 18 · 23:30J. Hradecky2.007550J. Holubec1.731111113WSep 18 · 22:00J. Hradecky1.7381411113D. Tuma2.001112251WSep 18 · 13:29M. Vizek2.1069111192J. Hradecky1.67111187113LSep 18 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.67131011101M. Vizek2.1015125123WSep 18 · 11:30J. Svoboda2.109990J. Hradecky1.671111113WSep 18 · 10:00J. Hradecky1.911110113113M. Sobisek1.8091281192WSep 15 · 13:30J. Hradecky1.3512117133V. Cermak2.9510911111WSep 15 · 12:00J. Hradecky1.6711175113J. Stolfa2.107151181
M. Sychra10
LSep 19 · 02:30M. Sychra1.40961171J. Hradecky2.7511115113WSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950LSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Sychra2.00138111152M. Vondrak1.731111913113WSep 17 · 14:30V. Vejvoda1.6711121311122M. Sychra2.103141113143LSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771LSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140
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