TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13161740
Played Sep 19Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116112––––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 52 set 3, 11-2
52 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 35–31 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 31 of their 66 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Urbaniec beat Svacha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.73 / Svacha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161740
Urbaniec1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 186 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it78% 126 of 162
Svacha2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 80 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec8wins
AwaySvacha2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvacha25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec6Svacha4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec6Svacha4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec7Svacha1n = 8Urbaniec took 7 of 8
S5Urbaniec3Svacha1n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSvachaU − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.237.4+4.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1273 vs 393 / 77850.8%50.5%647 / 1273 vs 393 / 778Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.73/Svacha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec45711511113O. Svacha4011911632
WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec49129611113O. Svacha46101111682
WSep 18 · 14:00R. Urbaniec3911116113O. Svacha31951161
WSep 14 · 01:00R. Urbaniec3961111113O. Svacha33116971
LSep 12 · 20:30R. Urbaniec49117712122O. Svacha559111110143
WSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec48127711113O. Svacha45101111672
WSep 9 · 22:30R. Urbaniec331111113O. Svacha208750
LAug 30 · 13:02R. Urbaniec377811111O. Svacha4111116133
WAug 30 · 10:00R. Urbaniec331111113O. Svacha216960
WAug 28 · 02:00R. Urbaniec50131113133O. Svacha4215511111
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682LSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361LSep 18 · 22:30M. Hampl1.801061111113R. Urbaniec1.9112119592LSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560
O. Svacha10
LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113WSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571WSep 19 · 03:30J. Ruzicka2.006880O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 19 · 02:30J. Ruzicka2.00149119133O. Svacha1.731211211112LSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682WSep 18 · 23:30O. Svacha2.10111011113M. Hampl1.67912291WSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391WSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113LSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143
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