TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13159521
Played Sep 19Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111012––––
Petr Saleny
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12
57 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 4–1 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Wagner beat Saleny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.53 / Saleny 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Wagner)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159521
Wagner1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 49 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Saleny2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 29 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back17% 7 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWagner4wins
AwaySaleny1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderWagner leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagner75%3 of 4
AwaySalenyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner4Saleny1n = 5Wagner took 4 of 5
S2Wagner3Saleny2n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
S3Wagner4Saleny1n = 5Wagner took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWagnerSalenyW − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match42.837.4+5.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 177 vs 209 / 40655.4%51.5%98 / 177 vs 209 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.53/Saleny 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner421811133P. Saleny30163110
WSep 19 · 08:00M. Wagner381611113P. Saleny3114890
WSep 6 · 10:30M. Wagner5510101112123P. Saleny511212710102
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Wagner451381591P. Saleny50111117113
WSep 6 · 07:00M. Wagner341112113P. Saleny2581070
M. Wagner10
WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111LSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113LSep 19 · 06:30M. Wagner1.9141580O. Cmerda1.801117113LSep 18 · 03:30O. Kolisnyk1.57111111113M. Wagner2.25136581WSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113WSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970
P. Saleny10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871LSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970LSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113LSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113WSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110WSep 12 · 12:30S. Kasnik2.6311840P. Saleny1.441311113WSep 12 · 11:30P. Saleny1.6111119123M. Regner2.205611101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.