TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153790
Played Sep 19Finished
Frantisek Pusch
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412115115––––
Petr Saleny
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 58 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 1–2 Petr Saleny Frantisek Pusch has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1787 vs Saleny 1732
Pusch
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 80% vs Saleny 40%
Pusch
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 70% vs Saleny 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +3 · Saleny +1
Pusch
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.83 / Saleny 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153790
Pusch1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Saleny1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePusch1wins
AwaySaleny2wins
Saleny leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch2Saleny1n = 3Pusch took 2 of 3
S2Pusch0Saleny3n = 3Saleny took 3 of 3
S3Pusch2Saleny1n = 3Pusch took 2 of 3
S4Pusch1Saleny2n = 3Saleny took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPuschSalenyP − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.038.7+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 133 vs 209 / 40455.6%51.7%74 / 133 vs 209 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.83/Saleny 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 9 · 10:00F. Pusch4413911113P. Saleny321111371
LSep 9 · 09:28F. Pusch461181891P. Saleny4751120113
LSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch33591181P. Saleny3711114113
F. Pusch10
WSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 9 · 13:30R. Wagner1.54811781F. Pusch2.1811611113WSep 9 · 12:30F. Pusch1.6711111115123V. Vejvoda2.10138417102LSep 9 · 11:00F. Pusch2.0031260R. Wagner1.731114113WSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113LSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 08:00V. Vejvoda1.9110360F. Pusch1.801211113WSep 9 · 07:00R. Wagner1.735890F. Pusch2.001111113LSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113WSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch1.801111113J. Ruzicka1.804870
P. Saleny10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110WSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871LSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970LSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113LSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113WSep 12 · 13:31P. Saleny1.501111113M. Regner2.506110LSep 9 · 10:00P. Saleny2.001111371F. Pusch1.7313911113WSep 9 · 09:28P. Saleny1.7351120113F. Pusch2.001181891WSep 9 · 06:30F. Pusch1.73591181P. Saleny2.0011114113
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