TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Mark Robin Wagner vs Ondrej Svacha 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111416––––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 67 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 55.8%
67 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 3–1 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wagner
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1683 vs Svacha 1715
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 20% vs Svacha 40%
Svacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 40% vs Svacha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -4 · Svacha -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.67 / Svacha 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169250
Wagner1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 53 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Svacha2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 80 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWagner3wins
AwaySvacha1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderWagner leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWagnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvacha33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Svacha3n = 4Svacha took 3 of 4
S2Wagner2Svacha2n = 4split evenly
S3Wagner3Svacha1n = 4Wagner took 3 of 4
S4Wagner3Svacha1n = 4Wagner took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWagnerSvachaW − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.239.0+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 181 vs 396 / 78254.1%50.6%98 / 181 vs 396 / 782Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.67/Svacha 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner4181111113O. Svacha31116861
LSep 12 · 08:30M. Wagner391181191O. Svacha3813113113
WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner45711511113O. Svacha4811811992
WAug 30 · 12:00M. Wagner4011512123O. Svacha3981110101
M. Wagner10
LSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143LSep 22 · 24:00J. Kycelt1.2261115123M. Wagner4.0011713101LSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130LSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123WSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111LSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113
O. Svacha10
LSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141WSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131LSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113
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