TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Svacha vs Radim Urbaniec 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113115611511––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 55.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 31–36 Radim Urbaniec Ondrej Svacha has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-36 in 67
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1726 vs Urbaniec 1751
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Urbaniec 80%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Urbaniec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -2 · Urbaniec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 2.10 / Urbaniec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169240
Svacha2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 80 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Urbaniec1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 189 of 287
Up 2–0, closes it91% 94 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 129 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha2wins
AwayUrbaniec8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha33.3%1 of 3
AwayUrbaniec85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Urbaniec7n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Svacha4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S3Svacha5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Svacha1Urbaniec6n = 7Urbaniec took 6 of 7
S5Svacha1Urbaniec3n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaUrbaniecS − UBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.040.6−5.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 781 vs 649 / 127650.7%50.9%396 / 781 vs 649 / 1276Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecSvacha 2.10/Urbaniec 1.67
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 21:29O. Svacha1810620R. Urbaniec341211113
LSep 19 · 20:00O. Svacha4011911632R. Urbaniec45711511113
LSep 19 · 01:00O. Svacha46101111682R. Urbaniec49129611113
LSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha31951161R. Urbaniec3911116113
LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha33116971R. Urbaniec3961111113
WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha559111110143R. Urbaniec49117712122
LSep 10 · 16:30O. Svacha45101111672R. Urbaniec48127711113
LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha208750R. Urbaniec331111113
WAug 30 · 13:02O. Svacha4111116133R. Urbaniec377811111
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Svacha216960R. Urbaniec331111113
O. Svacha10
LSep 21 · 23:00O. Svacha2.251111711102J. Kycelt1.57381113123LSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 09:28O. Svacha1.501511133V. Vejvoda2.50134110WSep 21 · 08:00O. Svacha1.5711611163V. Vejvoda2.252115141WSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131LSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620LSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113WSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130WSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682LSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361
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