TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Huk vs Radim Urbaniec 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Huk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101151214118
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 103 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 37–34 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 34 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Huk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-34 in 71
Huk
Correct
gap of 3 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1851 vs Urbaniec 1751
Huk
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 80% vs Urbaniec 100%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 80% vs Urbaniec 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +2 · Urbaniec +5
Urbaniec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Huk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 1.61 / Urbaniec 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Huk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168378
Huk1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 149 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 145
Urbaniec2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 177 of 454
Down 0–1, comes back21% 54 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk7wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk100%4 of 4
AwayUrbaniec50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S2Huk7Urbaniec3n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S3Huk4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S4Huk4Urbaniec3n = 7Huk took 4 of 7
S5Huk3Urbaniec0n = 3Huk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukUrbaniecH − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.837.1+2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime790 / 1612 vs 649 / 127649%50.9%790 / 1612 vs 649 / 1276Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HukHuk 1.61/Urbaniec 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Huk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 03:30M. Huk331111113R. Urbaniec186390
LAug 28 · 01:00M. Huk5281810161R. Urbaniec57111612183
WAug 20 · 03:30M. Huk518111110113R. Urbaniec4511781272
WAug 19 · 23:30M. Huk3631111113R. Urbaniec27118531
LAug 19 · 14:00M. Huk2371420R. Urbaniec381116113
WAug 19 · 24:30M. Huk45111139113R. Urbaniec4476111192
WAug 16 · 03:28M. Huk3961111113R. Urbaniec33119761
LAug 16 · 01:00M. Huk239860R. Urbaniec331111113
WAug 14 · 02:58M. Huk45111112113R. Urbaniec31561461
WAug 13 · 22:00M. Huk511161211113R. Urbaniec4591114292
M. Huk10
WSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.805990M. Huk1.901111113LSep 21 · 16:00M. Huk2.1031140P. Bradach1.671113113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Kanera1.7339110M. Huk2.001111133WSep 21 · 14:00M. Huk1.807101111113O. Kolisnyk1.9111128992LSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192WSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113WSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130WSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682LSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361
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