TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Lukianevych vs Hennadii Buianover 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411117115114––
Hennadii Buianover
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:35 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 64.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 79–38 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 38 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lukianevych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-38 in 117
Lukianevych
Correct
gap of 41 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1304 vs Buianover 1253
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 40% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 50% vs Buianover 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -3 · Buianover +1
Lukianevych
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Lukianevych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.50 / Buianover 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Lukianevych)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13173637
Lukianevych1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 73 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 53 of 63
Buianover2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 43 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych7wins
AwayBuianover3wins
Lukianevych leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych83.3%5 of 6
AwayBuianover50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych6Buianover4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S2Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S3Lukianevych8Buianover2n = 10Lukianevych took 8 of 10
S4Lukianevych3Buianover3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychBuianoverL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.031.0+5.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 410 vs 155 / 38850.2%40%206 / 410 vs 155 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.50/Buianover 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych32711591H. Buianover3711411113
WSep 13 · 13:05V. Lukianevych4111811113H. Buianover32711591
WSep 9 · 14:35V. Lukianevych44111111113H. Buianover31137381
WSep 2 · 12:35V. Lukianevych341211113H. Buianover2510780
WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover258980
LAug 30 · 17:55V. Lukianevych32761181H. Buianover4111118113
WAug 27 · 15:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover206860
LAug 12 · 16:05V. Lukianevych35119691H. Buianover3961111113
WAug 10 · 15:35V. Lukianevych4181111113H. Buianover32116691
WAug 5 · 15:35V. Lukianevych351211123H. Buianover28108100
V. Lukianevych10
LSep 16 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.006680V. Reva1.731111113LSep 16 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.73712111272V. Leonov2.001114110113LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.331111113M. Karelov3.257720WSep 13 · 19:35M. Karelov3.2591161182V. Lukianevych1.33118118113WSep 13 · 18:05V. Lukianevych1.36111183V. Kruglyak3.008810LSep 13 · 16:05S. Paksiutov2.75613411113V. Lukianevych1.40111111662WSep 13 · 14:05V. Melnyk4.33211371V. Lukianevych1.2011411103WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740
H. Buianover10
WSep 16 · 19:05H. Buianover4.5011119113V. Leonov1.17961191LSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942LSep 16 · 16:05H. Buianover1.40111190M. Karelov2.751313113WSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 13 · 18:35V. Melnyk4.3371140H. Buianover1.201113113WSep 13 · 17:35H. Buianover1.501111113M. Karelov2.506760LSep 13 · 16:35H. Buianover1.6777111182V. Kruglyak2.10111139113WSep 13 · 15:05H. Buianover1.531111113S. Paksiutov2.384650LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113
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