TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Kryvoshyi vs Kyrylo Tkachenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118114117––––
Kyrylo Tkachenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeKyrylo Tkachenko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Kyrylo Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 52 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kyrylo Tkachenko at 66.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 8–19 Kyrylo Tkachenko Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Tkachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-19 in 27
Tkachenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1332 vs Tkachenko 1408
Tkachenko
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 40% vs Tkachenko 60%
Tkachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 70% vs Tkachenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -3 · Tkachenko -2
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tkachenko) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 2.75 / Tkachenko 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Tkachenko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172985
Kryvoshyi2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 23 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Tkachenko1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 67 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it85% 52 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi4wins
AwayTkachenko6wins
Tkachenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyi100%3 of 3
AwayTkachenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi3Tkachenko7n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S2Kryvoshyi3Tkachenko7n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S3Kryvoshyi3Tkachenko7n = 10Tkachenko took 7 of 10
S4Kryvoshyi4Tkachenko1n = 5Kryvoshyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiTkachenkoK − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.437.0−2.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 558 vs 102 / 18145.3%56.4%253 / 558 vs 102 / 181Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkachenkoKryvoshyi 2.75/Tkachenko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.3%
Tkachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi3115970K. Tkachenko391711113
WSep 8 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi46111311113K. Tkachenko33815371
WSep 1 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi3911512113K. Tkachenko389111081
LAug 18 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi3016770K. Tkachenko401811113
LAug 6 · 16:55S. Kryvoshyi2494110K. Tkachenko351111133
LAug 4 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi4481111141K. Tkachenko4511513163
WJul 28 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi4681114133K. Tkachenko4011612111
LJul 21 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi2768130K. Tkachenko371111153
LJul 14 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi158340K. Tkachenko331111113
WMay 27 · 15:55S. Kryvoshyi4211119113K. Tkachenko30491161
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 22 · 15:55S. Kryvoshyi2.509950D. Kasian1.501111113LSep 22 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.3012911942O. Melnik3.401011611113LSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 21 · 11:05M. Vivatenko2.007470S. Kryvoshyi1.731111113WSep 21 · 10:05D. Kasian1.361161171S. Kryvoshyi3.0091113113WSep 21 · 08:35V. Hel1.8381111622S. Kryvoshyi1.83114711113WSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113WSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 16 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi1.73121167113D. Belanchik2.00102111172WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192
K. Tkachenko10
LSep 22 · 14:55V. Hel2.50811115113K. Tkachenko1.5011691162LSep 22 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.91118116102D. Kasian1.80911511123WSep 22 · 12:55O. Melnik6.506690K. Tkachenko1.101111113WSep 15 · 18:25K. Tkachenko1.57116811113V. Hel2.2531111762WSep 15 · 16:25O. Maksymkiv3.4011911762K. Tkachenko1.30711811113WSep 15 · 15:25K. Tkachenko1.441711113S. Kryvoshyi2.6315970WSep 15 · 14:25O. Melnik4.509490K. Tkachenko1.171111113LSep 15 · 12:55K. Tkachenko1.61971191D. Kasian2.2011117113WSep 8 · 18:55K. Tkachenko1.221111113V. Kheresko4.006790WSep 8 · 16:55D. Kozoriz1.679490K. Tkachenko2.101111113
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