TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Kryvoshyi vs Danylo Kasian 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Danylo Kasian
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDanylo Kasian to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kryvoshyi above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Danylo Kasian at 62.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kryvoshyi 1–3 Danylo Kasian Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kasian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kasian
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvoshyi 1345 vs Kasian 1372
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvoshyi 60% vs Kasian 80%
Kasian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvoshyi 80% vs Kasian 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvoshyi -2 · Kasian +3
Kasian
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kasian) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvoshyi 2.50 / Kasian 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kasian)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172970
Kryvoshyi2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 23 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Kasian1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 20 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKryvoshyi1wins
AwayKasian3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKasian leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvoshyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKasian66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvoshyi1Kasian3n = 4Kasian took 3 of 4
S2Kryvoshyi1Kasian3n = 4Kasian took 3 of 4
S3Kryvoshyi2Kasian2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKryvoshyiKasianKryvoshyi − KasianBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.238.5−5.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvoshyiKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 557 vs 44 / 7345.4%60.3%253 / 557 vs 44 / 73Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasianKryvoshyi 2.50/Kasian 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Kasian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 21 · 10:05S. Kryvoshyi4491113113D. Kasian351161171
LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2174100D. Kasian341111123
LSep 15 · 18:55S. Kryvoshyi247980D. Kasian331111113
LAug 25 · 16:25S. Kryvoshyi44115116112D. Kasian52911811133
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 22 · 14:25S. Kryvoshyi1.3012911942O. Melnik3.401011611113LSep 22 · 12:25S. Kryvoshyi2.3811119592D. Kozoriz1.53771111113WSep 21 · 11:05M. Vivatenko2.007470S. Kryvoshyi1.731111113WSep 21 · 10:05D. Kasian1.361161171S. Kryvoshyi3.0091113113WSep 21 · 08:35V. Hel1.8381111622S. Kryvoshyi1.83114711113WSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113WSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 16 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi1.73121167113D. Belanchik2.00102111172WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192
D. Kasian10
WSep 22 · 13:55K. Tkachenko1.91118116102D. Kasian1.80911511123WSep 22 · 11:55V. Hel1.9171161372D. Kasian1.801181111113WSep 21 · 11:35O. Maslovskyi2.5013880D. Kasian1.501511113LSep 21 · 10:05D. Kasian1.361161171S. Kryvoshyi3.0091113113WSep 21 · 08:05M. Vivatenko2.75671191D. Kasian1.4011119113LSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 16 · 10:55O. Melnik2.5081211143D. Kasian1.5011104121WSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113WSep 16 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.758950D. Kasian1.401111113WSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113
Upcoming Matches
S. Kryvoshyi
D. Kasian
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.