TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Maslovskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315811811––––
Danylo Kasian
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDanylo Kasian to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Maslovskyi above · Danylo Kasian below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 66 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Danylo Kasian at 61.7%
66 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Maslovskyi 5–5 Danylo Kasian Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kasian
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maslovskyi 1152 vs Kasian 1343
Kasian
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maslovskyi 40% vs Kasian 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maslovskyi 50% vs Kasian 70%
Kasian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maslovskyi +2 · Kasian -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kasian) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasian form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaslovskyi 2.50 / Kasian 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kasian)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166280
Maslovskyi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 85
Kasian1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 18 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaslovskyi5wins
AwayKasian5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaslovskyi57.1%4 of 7
AwayKasian66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maslovskyi7Kasian3n = 10Maslovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Maslovskyi6Kasian4n = 10Maslovskyi took 6 of 10
S3Maslovskyi4Kasian6n = 10Kasian took 6 of 10
S4Maslovskyi4Kasian4n = 8split evenly
S5Maslovskyi1Kasian2n = 3Kasian took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaslovskyiKasianM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.5+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaslovskyiKasianBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 859 vs 41 / 7049.9%58.6%429 / 859 vs 41 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasianMaslovskyi 2.50/Kasian 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kasian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:25O. Maslovskyi50711912113D. Kasian46118111062
WAug 17 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi4113116113D. Kasian331171141
LAug 16 · 16:25O. Maslovskyi321151061D. Kasian4171112113
LAug 14 · 06:55O. Maslovskyi29114591D. Kasian3961111113
LAug 13 · 13:25O. Maslovskyi561615411102D. Kasian621417118123
LAug 9 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi4351211692D. Kasian501110711113
WJul 30 · 10:55O. Maslovskyi331111113D. Kasian186750
LJul 29 · 17:29O. Maslovskyi28951131D. Kasian3711114113
WJul 29 · 12:55O. Maslovskyi4211128113D. Kasian346101171
WJul 20 · 07:53O. Maslovskyi341112113D. Kasian2561090
O. Maslovskyi10
WSep 21 · 09:35V. Hel1.28111111972O. Maslovskyi3.50139611113WSep 21 · 07:35V. Salivonchyk1.57113971O. Maslovskyi2.2571111113LSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113LSep 21 · 05:35M. Vivatenko1.2811118113O. Maslovskyi3.50881171LSep 20 · 17:55V. Salivonchyk1.53119711133O. Maslovskyi2.38811114112WSep 20 · 16:53O. Maslovskyi1.571111113M. Treschetka2.255670LSep 20 · 15:55O. Maslovskyi3.2591181192V. Kheresko1.33119115113LSep 20 · 14:28O. Maslovskyi4.4078121132O. Maksymkiv1.151111109113WSep 20 · 12:25O. Maslovskyi1.9111711113I. Fokin1.80811771WSep 18 · 11:25O. Maslovskyi2.1011117113I. Fokin1.67781171
D. Kasian10
LSep 21 · 10:05D. Kasian1.361161171S. Kryvoshyi3.0091113113WSep 21 · 08:05M. Vivatenko2.75671191D. Kasian1.4011119113LSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 16 · 10:55O. Melnik2.5081211143D. Kasian1.5011104121WSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113WSep 16 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.758950D. Kasian1.401111113WSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113WSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123WSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 16:55O. Melnik1.73126100D. Kasian2.001411123
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