TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Danylo Kasian
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1196111113711––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeDanylo Kasian to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDanylo Kasian above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Danylo Kasian at 71.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Danylo Kasian 3–0 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kasian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Kasian
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasian 1356 vs Kryvoshyi 1348
Kasian
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasian 60% vs Kryvoshyi 100%
Kryvoshyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasian 80% vs Kryvoshyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasian +1 · Kryvoshyi +7
Kryvoshyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kasian) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasian 1.36 / Kryvoshyi 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kasian)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166118
Kasian1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 18 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Kryvoshyi3.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 23 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKasian3wins
AwayKryvoshyi0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKasian leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasian2Kryvoshyi1n = 3Kasian took 2 of 3
S2Kasian3Kryvoshyi0n = 3Kasian took 3 of 3
S3Kasian2Kryvoshyi1n = 3Kasian took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKasianKryvoshyiKasian − KryvoshyiBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.729.7+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasianKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 69 vs 251 / 55359.4%45.4%41 / 69 vs 251 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasianKasian 1.36/Kryvoshyi 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.6%
Kasian · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kryvoshyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 16 · 04:25D. Kasian341111123S. Kryvoshyi2174100
WSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian331111113S. Kryvoshyi247980
WAug 25 · 16:25D. Kasian52911811133S. Kryvoshyi44115116112
D. Kasian10
WSep 21 · 08:05M. Vivatenko2.75671191D. Kasian1.4011119113LSep 21 · 06:05V. Salivonchyk2.101111133D. Kasian1.6799110LSep 16 · 10:55O. Melnik2.5081211143D. Kasian1.5011104121WSep 16 · 09:55O. Maksymkiv2.75145981D. Kasian1.40121111113WSep 16 · 08:25D. Belanchik2.758950D. Kasian1.401111113WSep 16 · 06:25V. Hel1.67141111762D. Kasian2.101221311113WSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123WSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980WSep 15 · 16:55O. Melnik1.73126100D. Kasian2.001411123WSep 15 · 14:55O. Maksymkiv2.205650D. Kasian1.611111113
S. Kryvoshyi10
WSep 21 · 11:05M. Vivatenko2.007470S. Kryvoshyi1.731111113WSep 21 · 08:35V. Hel1.8381111622S. Kryvoshyi1.83114711113WSep 21 · 06:35O. Maslovskyi3.00711981S. Kryvoshyi1.3611511113WSep 21 · 04:35V. Salivonchyk3.7511791142S. Kryvoshyi1.25711116113WSep 16 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi1.73121167113D. Belanchik2.00102111172WSep 16 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.30911119113O. Melnik3.4011251192WSep 16 · 07:25S. Kryvoshyi1.911011117113V. Hel1.8012881192WSep 16 · 05:55S. Kryvoshyi1.401111113O. Maksymkiv2.755420LSep 16 · 04:25S. Kryvoshyi2.2574100D. Kasian1.571111123LSep 15 · 18:55D. Kasian1.801111113S. Kryvoshyi1.917980
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