TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Kocab
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012115116––
Daniel Hyza
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Kocab above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kocab 8–8 Daniel Hyza Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kocab beat Hyza 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kocab)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyza form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocab 1.73 / Hyza 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kocab)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13172163
Kocab1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 53 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Hyza2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 19 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKocab5wins
AwayHyza5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocab80%4 of 5
AwayHyza80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocab5Hyza5n = 10split evenly
S2Kocab6Hyza4n = 10Kocab took 6 of 10
S3Kocab5Hyza5n = 10split evenly
S4Kocab4Hyza3n = 7Kocab took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKocabHyzaK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.333.4−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocabHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 264 vs 231 / 41147.4%56.2%125 / 264 vs 231 / 411Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocabKocab 1.73/Hyza 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kocab · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 15:55J. Kocab331111113D. Hyza236980
LSep 13 · 09:28J. Kocab198380D. Hyza331111113
LSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab32119931D. Hyza4291111113
WAug 28 · 12:25J. Kocab4011117113D. Hyza34591191
WJul 10 · 12:25J. Kocab4211119113D. Hyza25811151
WJun 19 · 11:55J. Kocab331111113D. Hyza208480
LJun 17 · 09:25J. Kocab19301151D. Hyza3811115113
LJun 10 · 10:35J. Kocab29691131D. Hyza4211119113
LJun 10 · 09:25J. Kocab4171131192D. Hyza44114117113
WJun 7 · 14:55J. Kocab45111112113D. Hyza331331071
J. Kocab10
LSep 21 · 17:25J. Kocab2.008450P. Benes1.731111113WSep 21 · 15:55D. Hyza1.806980J. Kocab1.911111113WSep 21 · 15:25M. Brozek2.5051111912J. Kocab1.50119811113WSep 19 · 14:10J. Kocab1.451114113M. Brozek2.5551290WSep 19 · 13:25J. Kocab3.001011911113M. Cerny1.3612911382WSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113LSep 19 · 11:25D. Bochnak1.301111113J. Kocab3.401360WSep 17 · 13:28P. Benes1.9181251152J. Kocab1.801110115113LSep 17 · 12:20P. Benes1.73691313113J. Kocab2.001111111192WSep 17 · 11:50M. Cerny1.28611111082J. Kocab3.50115612113
D. Hyza10
LSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Hyza1.806980J. Kocab1.911111113LSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380WSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113LSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113
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