TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Daniel Hyza
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911811––––
Jan Kocab
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kocab to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Jan Kocab below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jan Kocab at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 8–7 Jan Kocab Jan Kocab has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hyza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1647 vs Kocab 1699
Kocab
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 40% vs Kocab 80%
Kocab
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 40% vs Kocab 70%
Kocab
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza -1 · Kocab +3
Kocab
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hyza) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocab form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.80 / Kocab 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hyza)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13168015
Hyza1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 73 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it92% 35 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Kocab1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza5wins
AwayKocab5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza80%4 of 5
AwayKocab80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza5Kocab5n = 10split evenly
S2Hyza5Kocab5n = 10split evenly
S3Hyza5Kocab5n = 10split evenly
S4Hyza3Kocab5n = 8Kocab took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaKocabH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.334.2+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaKocabBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 409 vs 126 / 26556.5%47.6%231 / 409 vs 126 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaHyza 1.80/Kocab 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kocab won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza331111113J. Kocab198380
WSep 13 · 08:20D. Hyza4291111113J. Kocab32119931
LAug 28 · 12:25D. Hyza34591191J. Kocab4011117113
LJul 10 · 12:25D. Hyza25811151J. Kocab4211119113
LJun 19 · 11:55D. Hyza208480J. Kocab331111113
WJun 17 · 09:25D. Hyza3811115113J. Kocab19301151
WJun 10 · 10:35D. Hyza4211119113J. Kocab29691131
WJun 10 · 09:25D. Hyza44114117113J. Kocab4171131192
LJun 7 · 14:55D. Hyza331331071J. Kocab45111112113
LJun 2 · 10:05D. Hyza324111251J. Kocab4211614113
D. Hyza10
LSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101LSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek1.8011115113D. Hyza1.91761141LSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek1.831111113D. Hyza1.833850WSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380WSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113LSep 13 · 07:50D. Bochnak1.5011411113D. Hyza2.50311541LSep 13 · 06:50D. Hyza2.75511841M. Cerny1.4011911113WSep 11 · 13:55V. Jr1.903111021D. Hyza1.8011912113LSep 11 · 13:25D. Hyza1.91113741A. Rek1.8071111113
J. Kocab10
WSep 21 · 15:25M. Brozek2.5051111912J. Kocab1.50119811113WSep 19 · 14:10J. Kocab1.451114113M. Brozek2.5551290WSep 19 · 13:25J. Kocab3.001011911113M. Cerny1.3612911382WSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113LSep 19 · 11:25D. Bochnak1.301111113J. Kocab3.401360WSep 17 · 13:28P. Benes1.9181251152J. Kocab1.801110115113LSep 17 · 12:20P. Benes1.73691313113J. Kocab2.001111111192WSep 17 · 11:50M. Cerny1.28611111082J. Kocab3.50115612113LSep 13 · 09:28D. Hyza1.831111113J. Kocab1.838380LSep 13 · 08:20J. Kocab1.80119931D. Hyza1.9191111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Hyza
Nothing scheduled
J. Kocab
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