TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115711311––
Filip Theodor
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 68 set 4, 3-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 6–4 Filip Theodor Filip Theodor has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Przeczek beat Theodor 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.73 / Theodor 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Theodor)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13171994
Przeczek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 22 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it62% 16 of 26
Theodor2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 24 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzeczek6wins
AwayTheodor4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek71.4%5 of 7
AwayTheodor66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek7Theodor3n = 10Przeczek took 7 of 10
S2Przeczek6Theodor4n = 10Przeczek took 6 of 10
S3Przeczek5Theodor5n = 10split evenly
S4Przeczek3Theodor4n = 7Theodor took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzeczekTheodorP − TBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.035.8+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 173 vs 86 / 18346.2%47%80 / 173 vs 86 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorPrzeczek 1.73/Theodor 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 14:40K. Przeczek511112411133F. Theodor538101113112
WSep 3 · 21:18K. Przeczek4411119133F. Theodor377811111
LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek236890F. Theodor331111113
WAug 6 · 16:15K. Przeczek45121111113F. Theodor36145891
WApr 20 · 20:50K. Przeczek331111113F. Theodor199550
LApr 20 · 19:45K. Przeczek22114341F. Theodor3851111113
WApr 13 · 20:15K. Przeczek331111113F. Theodor206770
LJan 29 · 20:15K. Przeczek30113971F. Theodor3741111113
LJan 15 · 19:45K. Przeczek4041114382F. Theodor521171211113
WDec 9 · 20:40K. Przeczek3911611113F. Theodor33911671
K. Przeczek10
WSep 21 · 16:10K. Przeczek1.801111113O. Coufal1.912570WSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133LSep 21 · 14:10O. Skvor1.6711414113K. Przeczek2.102111251WSep 14 · 16:45K. Przeczek1.5711158113T. Ogrocki2.259131171WSep 14 · 16:15K. Przeczek1.611613113T. Ogrocki2.20141190LSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770WSep 14 · 14:15O. Skvor1.5711961152K. Przeczek2.25511117113LSep 9 · 16:44O. Skvor1.731112113K. Przeczek2.0071070LSep 9 · 15:40K. Przeczek1.57114341P. Jokiel2.2591111113LSep 9 · 14:40K. Przeczek1.8311119682O. Skvor1.83871111113
F. Theodor10
WSep 21 · 15:40F. Theodor2.25115119123O. Skvor1.57811811102LSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133WSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113LSep 13 · 15:45F. Theodor1.83115761O. Kus1.8391111113LSep 13 · 14:45F. Theodor1.835870O. Skvor1.831111113WSep 13 · 13:45F. Theodor2.101212811113K. Zeman1.67101411572LSep 10 · 21:15F. Theodor1.636880V. Reska2.051111113WSep 10 · 19:40V. Reska1.73105111162F. Theodor2.00121177113WSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113
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