TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7113111012––––
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 32–30 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 30 of their 62 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paril form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.73 / Paril 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Biolek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13171934
Biolek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 114 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it90% 53 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it72% 82 of 114
Paril2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 112 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek6wins
AwayParil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek75%6 of 8
AwayPariln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek8Paril2n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S2Biolek6Paril4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S3Biolek5Paril5n = 10split evenly
S4Biolek2Paril3n = 5Paril took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekParilB − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.232.2+2.0per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekParilBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 428 vs 501 / 96555.8%51.9%239 / 428 vs 501 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.73/Paril 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Paril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek351113113O. Paril2361160
WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek50119811113O. Paril4591111772
WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek341211113O. Paril2410950
WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek4211128113O. Paril367101181
LSep 5 · 13:29M. Biolek331110661O. Paril4171211113
LSep 5 · 11:30M. Biolek315511101O. Paril4011116123
WSep 1 · 15:30M. Biolek331111113O. Paril178360
LAug 24 · 18:00M. Biolek3711114562O. Paril40251111113
LJul 19 · 12:59M. Biolek145270O. Paril331111113
WJul 19 · 10:00M. Biolek331111113O. Paril239680
M. Biolek10
WSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek1.731113113O. Paril2.0061160LSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123LSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842WSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113
O. Paril10
LSep 21 · 16:30M. Biolek1.731113113O. Paril2.0061160LSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113LSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772LSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113WSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261
Upcoming Matches
M. Biolek
O. Paril
Nothing scheduled
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