TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11951111911131311
Ondrej Paril
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Ondrej Paril below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 104 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 39–37 Ondrej Paril Ondrej Paril has won 37 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-37 in 76
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1910 vs Paril 1853
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 60% vs Paril 40%
Szotkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 80% vs Paril 50%
Szotkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +1 · Paril -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.73 / Paril 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szotkowski)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165783
Szotkowski1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 133 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 105 of 142
Paril2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 15)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 112 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski6wins
AwayParil4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayParil66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski7Paril3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Szotkowski9Paril1n = 10Szotkowski took 9 of 10
S3Szotkowski4Paril6n = 10Paril took 6 of 10
S4Szotkowski2Paril5n = 7Paril took 5 of 7
S5Szotkowski2Paril2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiParilS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.0+2.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiParilBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 837 vs 506 / 97152.6%52.1%440 / 837 vs 506 / 971Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.73/Paril 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 21:30J. Szotkowski50111298102O. Paril462101111123
LAug 31 · 18:00J. Szotkowski3811119342O. Paril47771111113
WAug 27 · 13:00J. Szotkowski331111113O. Paril217770
LAug 27 · 12:00J. Szotkowski28511661O. Paril4011711113
WAug 25 · 12:00J. Szotkowski49111179113O. Paril4789111182
WAug 20 · 10:00J. Szotkowski341112113O. Paril2351080
WAug 11 · 11:30J. Szotkowski47511812113O. Paril47116111092
WJul 19 · 11:00J. Szotkowski341111123O. Paril2477100
LJul 17 · 09:29J. Szotkowski34811691O. Paril3811511113
WJul 17 · 07:30J. Szotkowski4011711113O. Paril27611731
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 21 · 15:00M. Biolek2.1099100J. Szotkowski1.671111123WSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361WSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330WSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671
O. Paril10
LSep 21 · 15:30O. Paril2.0078111152J. Dzida1.73111196113LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772LSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:00O. Paril1.804101111113P. Wawrosz1.9111128572LSep 10 · 13:30O. Paril1.738470R. Polasek2.001111113WSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261WSep 10 · 11:00O. Paril1.44811193123M. Navedla2.631141711102LSep 10 · 10:00R. Polasek1.8311118113O. Paril1.83981191
Upcoming Matches
J. Szotkowski
Sep 21 · 16:00J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—Sep 22 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.50M. Vavrecka2.50—Sep 22 · 11:30J. Szotkowski1.73T. Zika2.00—Sep 22 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.57R. Polasek2.25—Sep 22 · 14:30J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—Sep 22 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.61M. Biolek2.20—Sep 22 · 16:30J. Szotkowski1.57R. Niezgoda2.25—
O. Paril
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.