TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118611911––
Jan Szotkowski
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 101–117 Jan Szotkowski Tadeas Zika has won 101 of their 218 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zika beat Szotkowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
101-117 in 218
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 16 in 218, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1770 vs Szotkowski 1916
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 60% vs Szotkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 30% vs Szotkowski 80%
Szotkowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika +3 · Szotkowski -2
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.00 / Szotkowski 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szotkowski)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169735
Zika2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 308 of 670
Down 0–1, comes back28% 93 of 337
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 175
Szotkowski1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 133 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 105 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika4wins
AwaySzotkowski6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika66.7%4 of 6
AwaySzotkowski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika6Szotkowski4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S2Zika2Szotkowski8n = 10Szotkowski took 8 of 10
S3Zika4Szotkowski6n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S4Zika1Szotkowski6n = 7Szotkowski took 6 of 7
S5Zika3Szotkowski0n = 3Zika took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaSzotkowskiZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.9−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1741 vs 440 / 83845.9%52.5%799 / 1741 vs 440 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiZika 2.00/Szotkowski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.4%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika52118139113J. Szotkowski47711111172
LSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika397121281J. Szotkowski46111410113
LSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika30115861J. Szotkowski3961111113
WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika541191211113J. Szotkowski4241114672
WSep 17 · 14:30T. Zika43112116133J. Szotkowski49711911112
LSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika331141171J. Szotkowski4491113113
WSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika341112113J. Szotkowski2671090
LSep 3 · 10:30T. Zika177730J. Szotkowski331111113
LSep 3 · 06:00T. Zika133820J. Szotkowski331111113
LSep 2 · 10:30T. Zika421711861J. Szotkowski5019911113
T. Zika10
WSep 21 · 12:30R. Polasek1.9110760T. Zika1.801211113WSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:30R. Revay2.009820T. Zika1.731111113LSep 19 · 16:59T. Dousek1.67911117123T. Zika2.10119611102LSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113LSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162LSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113LSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361WSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330WSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113WSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560
Upcoming Matches
T. Zika
Sep 21 · 15:00T. Zika1.67M. Grundel2.10—Sep 21 · 16:00T. Zika1.91J. Pilch1.80—Sep 22 · 06:30T. Zika1.61M. Vavrecka2.20—Sep 22 · 07:30T. Zika1.83R. Polasek1.83—Sep 22 · 08:30T. Zika1.80M. Navedla1.91—Sep 22 · 10:30T. Zika1.83R. Polasek1.83—Sep 22 · 11:30T. Zika2.00J. Szotkowski1.73—Sep 22 · 12:30T. Zika1.61M. Vavrecka2.20—
J. Szotkowski
Sep 21 · 15:00J. Szotkowski1.67M. Biolek2.10—Sep 21 · 16:00J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—Sep 22 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.50M. Vavrecka2.50—Sep 22 · 11:30J. Szotkowski1.73T. Zika2.00—Sep 22 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.57R. Polasek2.25—Sep 22 · 14:30J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—Sep 22 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.67M. Biolek2.10—Sep 22 · 16:30J. Szotkowski1.61R. Niezgoda2.20—
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