TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153747
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115116––––
Martin Biolek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Martin Biolek at 56.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 22–24 Martin Biolek Jan Szotkowski has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-24 in 46
Biolek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1853 vs Biolek 1958
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 40% vs Biolek 80%
Biolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 50% vs Biolek 70%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +1 · Biolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 2.00 / Biolek 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Biolek)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153747
Szotkowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 67 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Biolek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 108 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski5wins
AwayBiolek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayBiolek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski6Biolek4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S2Szotkowski4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S3Szotkowski5Biolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski4Biolek3n = 7Szotkowski took 4 of 7
S5Szotkowski1Biolek2n = 3Biolek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.10.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime432 / 830 vs 232 / 41452.1%56%432 / 830 vs 232 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekSzotkowski 2.00/Biolek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski4661111992M. Biolek50119811113
WAug 25 · 15:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek122370
WAug 20 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3611311113M. Biolek30811561
LAug 18 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3541111362M. Biolek49117911113
LAug 11 · 17:03J. Szotkowski248790M. Biolek331111113
LAug 11 · 15:00J. Szotkowski4112118101M. Biolek46101311123
WAug 10 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4211711133M. Biolek345117111
WAug 3 · 16:59J. Szotkowski491151111113M. Biolek4251113672
WAug 3 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3611113113M. Biolek32591171
LJul 30 · 17:29J. Szotkowski194870M. Biolek331111113
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113LSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.73711911112T. Zika2.00112116133WSep 17 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.441111113P. Wawrosz2.639470LSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:00T. Zika2.101141171J. Szotkowski1.6791113113WSep 17 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.571111113P. Wawrosz2.257940LSep 15 · 13:00R. Polasek2.2511912113J. Szotkowski1.577111081
M. Biolek10
WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431LSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121WSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.53119811113T. Dousek2.3891111772WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772LSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620WSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101WSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski2.0061111992M. Biolek1.73119811113
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