TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153739
Played Sep 19Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711118711811
Rostislav Niezgoda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Rostislav Niezgoda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 2–1 Rostislav Niezgoda Rostislav Niezgoda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1768 vs Niezgoda 1810
Niezgoda
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 20% vs Niezgoda 60%
Niezgoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 20% vs Niezgoda 60%
Niezgoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -1 · Niezgoda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Niezgoda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.20 / Niezgoda 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Niezgoda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153739
Zika2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 310 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back28% 94 of 338
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 173
Niezgoda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZika2wins
AwayNiezgoda1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderZika leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika1Niezgoda2n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S2Zika2Niezgoda1n = 3Zika took 2 of 3
S3Zika2Niezgoda1n = 3Zika took 2 of 3
S4Zika1Niezgoda2n = 3Niezgoda took 2 of 3
S5Zika2Niezgoda1n = 3Zika took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZikaNiezgodaZ − NBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match46.750.0−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaNiezgodaBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1731 vs 8 / 1346%61.5%796 / 1731 vs 8 / 13Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.541.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaZika 2.20/Niezgoda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 16:30T. Zika4661611852R. Niezgoda561114911113
WSep 16 · 21:28T. Zika507111011113R. Niezgoda4611812692
WSep 16 · 20:00T. Zika44115123133R. Niezgoda485111011112
T. Zika10
LSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431WSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch1.83119881T. Zika1.8361111113LSep 18 · 12:00R. Revay2.00111396113T. Zika1.73811111172LSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133LSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561LSep 18 · 08:00T. Zika1.833790R. Revay1.831111113LSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192LSep 18 · 06:00T. Zika1.73129111072P. Wawrosz2.001011812113WSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113WSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113LSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133WSep 16 · 19:30R. Polasek3.001139111R. Niezgoda1.3691111133WSep 16 · 18:00R. Niezgoda1.7311114123T. Dousek2.005711101
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