TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153718
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116911811811––
Tadeas Zika
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 45–33 Tadeas Zika Tadeas Zika has won 33 of their 78 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zika)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 1.83 / Zika 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zika)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153718
Pilch1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zika1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch4wins
AwayZika6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZika leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch100%3 of 3
AwayZika85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S2Pilch7Zika3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch3Zika7n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S4Pilch3Zika4n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchZikaP − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.7−2.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 441 vs 795 / 172950.3%46%222 / 441 vs 795 / 1729Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikaPilch 1.83/Zika 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zika · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zika won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 09:28J. Pilch2361250T. Zika361114113
LJun 17 · 06:30J. Pilch29711651T. Zika4111811113
LJun 12 · 12:30J. Pilch4241181182T. Zika47118116113
LMay 1 · 11:30J. Pilch30811291T. Zika4111811113
WApr 30 · 14:30J. Pilch4511158113T. Zika397131181
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Pilch228860T. Zika331111113
WApr 23 · 11:30J. Pilch331111113T. Zika229580
WApr 22 · 07:00J. Pilch49711119113T. Zika4111861152
LMar 16 · 13:30J. Pilch4110111191T. Zika4212613113
WMar 13 · 11:30J. Pilch4111811113T. Zika35911871
J. Pilch10
WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch1.831311123M. Grundel1.83118100WSep 18 · 16:00M. Grundel1.73651161J. Pilch2.0011119113LSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112LSep 18 · 14:30J. Pilch2.2510730R. Polasek1.571211113LSep 18 · 12:30J. Pilch1.83211571P. Wawrosz1.8311411113WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 18 · 10:00R. Revay1.3671111113J. Pilch3.00119871LSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970
T. Zika10
LSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162LSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113LSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431LSep 18 · 12:00R. Revay2.00111396113T. Zika1.73811111172LSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133LSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561
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