TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13148734
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Pilch
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711311––––
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Polasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 54 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Radovan Polasek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 9–15 Radovan Polasek Jakub Pilch has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Polasek
Correct
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pilch 1752 vs Polasek 1857
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pilch 20% vs Polasek 60%
Polasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pilch 40% vs Polasek 60%
Polasek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pilch -2 · Polasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 2.25 / Polasek 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Polasek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13148734
Pilch2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 28 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Polasek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it85% 76 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch2wins
AwayPolasek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch50%2 of 4
AwayPolasek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S2Pilch2Polasek8n = 10Polasek took 8 of 10
S3Pilch5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Pilch2Polasek5n = 7Polasek took 5 of 7
S5Pilch1Polasek2n = 3Polasek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchPolasekPilch − PolasekBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.939.5−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 442 vs 467 / 91950.2%50.8%222 / 442 vs 467 / 919Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPilch 2.25/Polasek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:30J. Pilch371151381R. Polasek4141115113
LSep 8 · 06:00J. Pilch3876111132R. Polasek45111175113
LAug 1 · 14:30J. Pilch347111241R. Polasek4011414113
WAug 1 · 10:30J. Pilch331111113R. Polasek218850
LJul 21 · 12:30J. Pilch49108121182R. Polasek511211107113
LJul 1 · 11:00J. Pilch28117461R. Polasek3631111113
LMay 1 · 10:30J. Pilch301041151R. Polasek4312119113
LApr 30 · 17:00J. Pilch146350R. Polasek331111113
LApr 30 · 16:00J. Pilch26610100R. Polasek351112123
WApr 23 · 12:00J. Pilch501351110113R. Polasek50111181282
J. Pilch10
WSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113WSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch1.831311123M. Grundel1.83118100WSep 18 · 16:00M. Grundel1.73651161J. Pilch2.0011119113LSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112LSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch1.83119881T. Zika1.8361111113LSep 18 · 12:30J. Pilch1.83211571P. Wawrosz1.8311411113WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721
R. Polasek10
LSep 18 · 17:30D. Tomica2.381112119113R. Polasek1.53710131192LSep 18 · 16:30D. Tomica2.38111110113R. Polasek1.53991231WSep 18 · 15:30R. Polasek1.501111113M. Grundel2.507260WSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561LSep 18 · 08:30P. Wawrosz2.0061111113R. Polasek1.73117421WSep 18 · 07:30R. Polasek1.83119114113T. Zika1.8351191192WSep 18 · 06:30R. Revay1.9181161172R. Polasek1.80115114113LSep 17 · 13:30R. Polasek1.856990T. Zika1.851111113WSep 17 · 12:00R. Polasek2.251111113J. Szotkowski1.576760WSep 17 · 11:30P. Wawrosz1.8335100R. Polasek1.831111123
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