TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13160611
Played Sep 19Finished
Daniel Tomica
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811811119711
Jakub Pilch
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDaniel Tomica above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tomica 6–7 Jakub Pilch Daniel Tomica has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Tomica beat Pilch 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tomica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTomica 1.90 / Pilch 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tomica)+5.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160611
Tomica1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Pilch1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 48 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it69% 33 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTomica5wins
AwayPilch5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTomica66.7%4 of 6
AwayPilch75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tomica6Pilch4n = 10Tomica took 6 of 10
S2Tomica3Pilch7n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Tomica5Pilch5n = 10split evenly
S4Tomica3Pilch5n = 8Pilch took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTomicaPilchT − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.4−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTomicaPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 185 vs 226 / 44949.2%50.3%91 / 185 vs 226 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomicaTomica 1.90/Pilch 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tomica · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 14:30D. Tomica4211911113J. Pilch30511951
WSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica45551111133J. Pilch49111197112
WJul 17 · 14:30D. Tomica341111123J. Pilch2578100
LJul 11 · 12:30D. Tomica4191110111J. Pilch4311712133
LJul 4 · 17:30D. Tomica28711100J. Pilch361113123
WJul 4 · 16:00D. Tomica4212811113J. Pilch311011461
WJul 2 · 16:30D. Tomica45116116113J. Pilch4481161182
LMar 19 · 16:00D. Tomica28711731J. Pilch4111811113
LJul 20 · 14:00D. Tomica38119991J. Pilch4291111113
LJul 10 · 17:30D. Tomica361181071J. Pilch4391112113
D. Tomica10
WSep 19 · 16:30M. Navedla2.10118991D. Tomica1.6771111113WSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692WSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 17:30D. Tomica2.381112119113R. Polasek1.53710131192WSep 18 · 16:30D. Tomica2.38111110113R. Polasek1.53991231WSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112LSep 18 · 14:00M. Grundel1.571011114113D. Tomica2.2512981162WSep 10 · 17:30L. Velebil1.8071191152D. Tomica1.90119119113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Grundel1.5010880D. Tomica2.501211113LSep 10 · 15:00L. Velebil1.8371112113D. Tomica1.831151071
J. Pilch10
WSep 19 · 16:00M. Cabis1.806811101J. Pilch1.9111118123WSep 19 · 15:00M. Navedla2.006116141J. Pilch1.7311611163LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch1.73511951D. Tomica2.0011911113WSep 18 · 16:59J. Pilch1.831311123M. Grundel1.83118100WSep 18 · 16:00M. Grundel1.73651161J. Pilch2.0011119113LSep 18 · 15:00D. Tomica2.10551111133J. Pilch1.67111197112LSep 18 · 14:30J. Pilch2.2510730R. Polasek1.571211113LSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch1.83119881T. Zika1.8361111113LSep 18 · 12:30J. Pilch1.83211571P. Wawrosz1.8311411113WSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721
Upcoming Matches
D. Tomica
Nothing scheduled
J. Pilch
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