TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153761
Played Sep 19Finished
Tadeas Zika
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Martin Biolek
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTadeas Zika above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 67.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Zika 28–47 Martin Biolek Tadeas Zika has won 28 of their 75 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Biolek beat Zika 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-47 in 75
Biolek
Correct
gap of 19 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zika 1744 vs Biolek 1891
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zika 0% vs Biolek 40%
Biolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zika 10% vs Biolek 60%
Biolek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zika -5 · Biolek -2
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 3.75 / Biolek 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Biolek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153761
Zika3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 310 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back28% 94 of 338
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 173
Biolek1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 108 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it71% 79 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika2wins
AwayBiolek8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika25%1 of 4
AwayBiolek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S2Zika3Biolek7n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S3Zika2Biolek8n = 10Biolek took 8 of 10
S4Zika2Biolek3n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaBiolekZ − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.236.7−5.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime796 / 1735 vs 233 / 41845.9%55.7%796 / 1735 vs 233 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekZika 3.75/Biolek 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 10:00T. Zika23115431M. Biolek4181111113
LSep 5 · 14:30T. Zika28810100M. Biolek351112123
LSep 5 · 12:00T. Zika248880M. Biolek331111113
LSep 1 · 17:30T. Zika248880M. Biolek331111113
WSep 1 · 16:00T. Zika331111113M. Biolek197750
LAug 25 · 16:00T. Zika491011711102M. Biolek50127118123
WAug 24 · 19:30T. Zika4291111113M. Biolek35116991
LAug 22 · 11:00T. Zika331161061M. Biolek4281112113
LAug 20 · 17:00T. Zika32141170M. Biolek401613113
LAug 20 · 15:30T. Zika24113911M. Biolek3961111113
T. Zika10
LSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162LSep 19 · 13:00R. Niezgoda1.671111113T. Zika2.106730LSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113LSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431WSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch1.83119881T. Zika1.8361111113LSep 18 · 12:00R. Revay2.00111396113T. Zika1.73811111172LSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 18 · 10:30T. Zika1.67912711112P. Wawrosz2.101110119133LSep 18 · 08:58R. Polasek1.9171111113T. Zika1.80116561
M. Biolek10
LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113LSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662LSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560WSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431LSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121WSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.53119811113T. Dousek2.3891111772WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772
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