TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13159499
Played Sep 19Finished
Rostislav Niezgoda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117113––––
Tadeas Zika
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeRostislav Niezgoda to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRostislav Niezgoda above · Tadeas Zika below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Rostislav Niezgoda at 66.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Rostislav Niezgoda 2–2 Tadeas Zika Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Niezgoda beat Zika 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Niezgoda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niezgoda 1812 vs Zika 1750
Niezgoda
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niezgoda 60% vs Zika 20%
Niezgoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niezgoda 50% vs Zika 10%
Niezgoda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Niezgoda -1 · Zika -3
Zika
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Niezgoda) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiezgoda 1.67 / Zika 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Niezgoda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159499
Niezgoda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zika2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 310 of 669
Down 0–1, comes back28% 94 of 338
Down 0–2, comes back8% 14 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNiezgoda2wins
AwayZika2wins
4 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niezgoda2Zika2n = 4split evenly
S2Niezgoda2Zika2n = 4split evenly
S3Niezgoda1Zika3n = 4Zika took 3 of 4
S4Niezgoda3Zika1n = 4Niezgoda took 3 of 4
S5Niezgoda2Zika2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricNiezgodaZikaN − ZBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match49.546.0+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiezgodaZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 15 vs 796 / 173360%45.9%9 / 15 vs 796 / 1733Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiezgodaNiezgoda 1.67/Zika 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Niezgoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Niezgoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 19 · 11:00R. Niezgoda48711811113T. Zika4411711782
WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda561114911113T. Zika4661611852
LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda4611812692T. Zika507111011113
LSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda485111011112T. Zika44115123133
R. Niezgoda10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662WSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113WSep 17 · 17:30J. Dzida1.917117121R. Niezgoda1.8011511143WSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852LSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113WSep 17 · 14:00J. Dzida1.8351111111R. Niezgoda1.8311913133LSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113LSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133WSep 16 · 19:30R. Polasek3.001139111R. Niezgoda1.3691111133
T. Zika10
LSep 19 · 14:00T. Dousek1.50741113113T. Zika2.50111191162LSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113LSep 19 · 11:00T. Zika2.2011711782R. Niezgoda1.61711811113LSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431WSep 18 · 13:00J. Pilch1.83119881T. Zika1.8361111113LSep 18 · 12:00R. Revay2.00111396113T. Zika1.73811111172LSep 18 · 11:00J. Pilch1.9181111113T. Zika1.80117721LSep 17 · 16:30R. Niezgoda2.001114911113T. Zika1.7361611852WSep 16 · 21:28R. Niezgoda1.9111812692T. Zika1.807111011113WSep 16 · 20:00R. Niezgoda1.675111011112T. Zika2.10115123133
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