TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13160601
Played Sep 19Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118114––––
Martin Biolek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 25–24 Martin Biolek Martin Biolek has won 24 of their 49 meetings.
They have already met 3 times today · last one 3h before this match
Szotkowski beat Biolek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.73 / Biolek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szotkowski)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160601
Szotkowski1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 132 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 104 of 141
Biolek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog56% won 44 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back40% 14 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski6wins
AwayBiolek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski85.7%6 of 7
AwayBiolek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski7Biolek3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Szotkowski6Biolek4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S3Szotkowski7Biolek3n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S4Szotkowski3Biolek3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekS − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.132.2+4.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 836 vs 235 / 42052.4%56%438 / 836 vs 235 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.73/Biolek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 14:30J. Szotkowski341112113M. Biolek1841040
WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski47111114113M. Biolek33641671
WSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek176560
LSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski4661111992M. Biolek50119811113
WAug 25 · 15:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek122370
WAug 20 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3611311113M. Biolek30811561
LAug 18 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3541111362M. Biolek49117911113
LAug 11 · 17:03J. Szotkowski248790M. Biolek331111113
LAug 11 · 15:00J. Szotkowski4112118101M. Biolek46101311123
WAug 10 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4211711133M. Biolek345117111
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113WSep 19 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.911111113T. Dousek1.803330WSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:30T. Zika2.00115861J. Szotkowski1.7361111113WSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560WSep 19 · 10:30R. Niezgoda2.1010111191J. Szotkowski1.6712136113LSep 17 · 17:14T. Zika2.021191211113J. Szotkowski1.7041114672LSep 17 · 16:00J. Dzida1.731111113J. Szotkowski2.002990WSep 17 · 15:00R. Niezgoda1.83153991J. Szotkowski1.83131111113
M. Biolek10
WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113LSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671WSep 19 · 12:00M. Biolek2.001141011113R. Niezgoda1.7311112662LSep 19 · 11:30J. Szotkowski2.001111113M. Biolek1.736560WSep 19 · 10:00M. Biolek1.4481111113T. Zika2.63115431LSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121WSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113
Upcoming Matches
J. Szotkowski
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M. Biolek
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