TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9119111012––––
Jan Szotkowski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:07 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 62 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Szotkowski at 56.2%
62 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 24–26 Jan Szotkowski Martin Biolek has won 24 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-26 in 50
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1917 vs Szotkowski 1910
Biolek
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 60% vs Szotkowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 50% vs Szotkowski 80%
Szotkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek -1 · Szotkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 2.10 / Szotkowski 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szotkowski)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165539
Biolek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 45 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Szotkowski1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 133 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it93% 71 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 105 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek4wins
AwaySzotkowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek100%3 of 3
AwaySzotkowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S2Biolek3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S3Biolek3Szotkowski7n = 10Szotkowski took 7 of 10
S4Biolek3Szotkowski2n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekSzotkowskiB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.436.2−5.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekSzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 426 vs 440 / 83755.9%52.6%238 / 426 vs 440 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiBiolek 2.10/Szotkowski 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 17:29M. Biolek164840J. Szotkowski331111113
LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1841040J. Szotkowski341112113
LSep 19 · 13:30M. Biolek33641671J. Szotkowski47111114113
LSep 19 · 11:30M. Biolek176560J. Szotkowski331111113
WSep 14 · 15:30M. Biolek50119811113J. Szotkowski4661111992
LAug 25 · 15:30M. Biolek122370J. Szotkowski331111113
LAug 20 · 16:00M. Biolek30811561J. Szotkowski3611311113
WAug 18 · 16:00M. Biolek49117911113J. Szotkowski3541111362
WAug 11 · 17:03M. Biolek331111113J. Szotkowski248790
WAug 11 · 15:00M. Biolek46101311123J. Szotkowski4112118101
M. Biolek10
LSep 21 · 14:00J. Dzida1.80138311113M. Biolek1.91111111842WSep 20 · 21:30T. Dousek2.25991191M. Biolek1.5811119113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Biolek2.00118941R. Niezgoda1.7381111113WSep 20 · 19:30T. Dousek2.2011961152M. Biolek1.61511117113WSep 20 · 18:00M. Biolek1.611111113R. Polasek2.206930LSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:00T. Dousek2.25111011392M. Biolek1.57912611113WSep 19 · 15:00T. Zika3.759980M. Biolek1.251111113LSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113LSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 21 · 16:00J. Dzida1.6711851162J. Szotkowski2.10611116113WSep 21 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.731151111133O. Paril2.00911913112WSep 21 · 13:30T. Zika2.00711691J. Szotkowski1.7311811113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.619111091R. Revay2.2011812113LSep 21 · 11:30T. Zika1.91118139113J. Szotkowski1.80711111172WSep 21 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111111113R. Polasek2.25791361WSep 19 · 17:29J. Szotkowski1.731111113M. Biolek2.004840WSep 19 · 16:30T. Zika1.917121281J. Szotkowski1.80111410113WSep 19 · 14:30M. Biolek1.8041040J. Szotkowski1.911112113WSep 19 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00111114113M. Biolek1.73641671
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